Prepper News

haha we do need more Harold holts in politics. It’s for the good of humanity.

I think we would quickly get sick of going to the polls every year.




The man who never makes mistakes must get tired of doing nothing !!

Isn't there a country in Europe that the people have the final vote on all government policies? basically a once a month referendum where the gov puts out all the details of the pro[posed new laws/bills and the people vote on them?

Many consider the well above record rainfall in Cairns as extraordinary and above previous rainfall totals.   But is it really unexpected!! Let's discuss.

A few years back the NSW Dam safety department decided to upgrade all dam spillways to accommodate higher than originally designed rainfall.  What they did is take maximum rainfall ever recorded in the dam catchment and extrapolated it to the entire catchment and designed accordingly. 

Australia only has 200years of recorded rainfall records not like Europe and china where record are +1,000 years. To calculate a 1:100y flood accurately a minimum of 1,000years of rainfall records are needed.  One could go 200y without experiencing a 1:100 year event. Authorities are just guessing if one looks at geology and landscapes one can easily see that historically floods were way more severs.  As prepper in Australis one needs to keep in mind flood and weather events are likely to by way more than expected maximums.  But they will just blame it all on fake climate change.  

What is a 1 in 100 year event?

theconversation.com/what-is-a-1-in-100-year-weather-event-and-why-do-they-keep-happening-so-often-157589

First, let’s clear up a common misunderstanding about what a one in 100 year event means. It does not mean the event will occur exactly once every 100 years, or that it will not happen again for another 100 years.

For meteorologists, the one in 100 year event is an event of a size that will be equalled or exceeded on average once every 100 years. This means that over a period of 1,000 years you would expect the one in 100 year event would be equalled or exceeded ten times. But several of those ten times might happen within a few years of each other, and then none for a long time afterwards.

I remember in the 60's, an ex tropical cyclone making it as far down as Sydney, and it being so wet ! Could happen again and just imagine the devastation and insurance losses with 50 plus years of development in valleys and so on.

Whilst we are at the start of a small creek, our main dam is actually the headwaters, we are over 200 meters above it, and the catchment is small this far up, so flooding is not an issue. Lots of people will be swimming well before we get wet feet !

The local small town does flood from the Clarence River, and indeed the worst was water 1/2 way up the counter in the Post Office.

I suspect the new bridge over the river will fail as the pylons are not solid like the old bridge was, and therefore eddies will form tending to undermine them. Just my 2 bobs worth. Wont affect us too badly when it does fail. No one in the Council seems interested in the design calcs Ive done, so be it, they were told.






For me, prepping is a state of mind that is grounded in the core belief that YOU and only YOU are responsible for your own well-being.

When calculating size of dam or rainfall runoff the general standard is 65-75% of rainfall will runoff from natural area.  Much higher in developed areas with roads, roofs, guttering it is more like 90%.  Even if there was same amount of rainfall it would generate additional 20 percent runoff and speed of reporting to waterways is much higher so it all comes down at once exacerbating things even more. 




Is it to safe  say the historically cyclones did not hit or linger in those areas.  Records are insufficient to make a call on it...  

The insurance and other risk like leaving planes at airport are made using BOM rainfall records.  - They have proved to be totally inadequate. 

"What attacks in the Red Sea could mean for the global economy. Since 12 percent of global trade passes though the Red Sea, including 30 percent of global container traffic, accounting for one trillion dollars of trade each year, delay and diversion there would cause significant disruption to world trade."

Exactly what they want.






Never believe anything from the Government, until it as been denied strenuously.

Good. We buy too much crap we don’t need anyway. Restricted world trade might make less of us consumer units or encourage local manufacturing.

The devil is in the detail 
most light aircraft were moved to other airfields in advance usually places like Mareeba those that were left behind were either not able to fly due to the owners/pilots being away or were grounded for Maintenace or were part of a program like RFDS or similar and had to remain close to their base of operations for rapid deployment.

 The larger commercial aircraft were a mix of maintenance and being too late to leave and being grounded and then there were a couple that are based there once again due to operational requirements.

The other key thing is the amount of workers cars in the flood water indicates that it was a normal day of airport operations until the King tides at 1pm met the unpredictable volume of rain that fell over a large catchment of the Barron River.
Once the Barron river broke its banks and hit the rising wall of sea water it had nowhere to go so it just flooded outwards and it did it rapidly 

For the record the cyclone had already passed but what the issue was it stalled its westward movement and the southern tail of the moist air being drawn into it basically parked over north QLD for several days. I personally received 1.6 meters of rain over 4 days at my location 

To say the BOM predictions were inaccurate is not entirely true or correct they did warm us repeatedly that this was going to be a very wet event, but normalcy bias and complacency brought a lot of people undone. I heard loud and clear what they were saying and reacted accordingly and as a result only experienced a minor inconvenience  


This event will like all events of this scale be used by people to push through their ideological , political and activist views a soap box for all to stand on and point fingers as others and to blame whatever their favorite thing is to blame but for me its a good stress test for equipment and planning and a good opportunity to once again see what disappeared off the shelves 1st and do those things go 1st make sense