spatial
Senior Member
Posts: 2,396
Likes: 1,560
|
Post by spatial on Mar 13, 2023 17:57:05 GMT 10
|
|
spatial
Senior Member
Posts: 2,396
Likes: 1,560
|
Post by spatial on Mar 13, 2023 21:26:21 GMT 10
,,,,,,,,,,,,, So yeah. Smaller traditional banks spudding in and making the news? That's when (at least for me) the blood is in the water and we're only months away from another GFC style situation. We're due for another stock market crash in the coming weeks according to a couple of my favourite stock market analysts so we're already tightening our belts. Your fears might be coming true, banks accross US and Europe now in trouble. First Republic Shares Crash 60% As Regional Bank 'Crisis In Confidence' Spreads www.zerohedge.com/markets/first-republic-shares-crash-60-regional-bank-crisis-confidence-spreads
|
|
|
Post by spinifex on Mar 14, 2023 7:13:23 GMT 10
I read today that the CEO of SVB sold his $3.6M in shares the day before the bank filed. I also read that balless ex prince Harry and his ballbreaker wife had all their money tied up in SVB and are now effectively broke lol EDIT: Oprah lost half a billion dollars as well lol Oprah should definately fire her team of financial advisers. Who the heck puts THAT much coin into a single entity?
|
|
|
Post by SA Hunter on Mar 14, 2023 8:43:35 GMT 10
|
|
frostbite
VIP Member
Posts: 5,719
Likes: 7,119
|
Post by frostbite on Mar 14, 2023 10:15:53 GMT 10
I’m seriously thinking about spending another $2k on precious metal, in this case a taipan .223 pump action rifle. better than crypto or money in the bank Same here! I've been standing off waiting for the bottom feeders in NSW FAR to prohibit them but it doesn't seem to be happening! P.S. Can I please have some of my .223 back? The reviews on the Taipan not real good. It’s very accurate but seems to be prone to the bolt locking up and parts breaking. Might have to find something else to put my Acog on. in the meantime I’m taking money out of the bank and buying any building materials I might need in the future, like besser blocks, reo bars, steel stud, screws etc.
|
|
tactile
Senior Member
Posts: 1,069
Likes: 483
|
Post by tactile on Mar 14, 2023 10:15:56 GMT 10
Oprah should definately fire her team of financial advisers. Who the heck puts THAT much coin into a single entity? Apparently the Spare (Pr. Harry) did too...
|
|
malewithatail
VIP Member
Posts: 3,963
Likes: 1,380
Location: Northern Rivers NSW
|
Post by malewithatail on Mar 14, 2023 10:32:26 GMT 10
My prediction. The Feds will kick the can down the road for perhaps 10-12 months. And keep everyone calm with bailouts, but eventually, probably this time next year, it will all come unstuck.
Unless you want to become part of the worldwide vaporware based crypto nothingness, barter will be the only option, with a small account for council rates etc.
Ready or not, here it comes.
Bring it on !!! The sooner it collapses, the sooner we can get on with life instead of waiting for something to happen.
From '1984' - George Orwell. "If all others accept the lie which the party imposed - if all records told the same tale, then the lie becomes truth."
|
|
spatial
Senior Member
Posts: 2,396
Likes: 1,560
|
Post by spatial on Mar 14, 2023 12:56:13 GMT 10
SVB bank had very conservative loan to deposit ratio and most of their assets in Gov bonds, supposedly the safest investment one can make, but rising interest rates killed them. The canary in the "mine" just died and the rest of the banking sector will follow soon. www.sovereignman.com/trends/if-svb-is-insolvent-so-is-everyone-else-146244/1) US government bonds are the new “toxic security” Silicon Valley Bank was no Lehman Brothers. Whereas Lehman bet almost ALL of its balance sheet on those risky mortgage bonds, SVB actually had a surprisingly conservative balance sheet.2) If SVB is insolvent, so is everyone else… including the Fed.
This is where the real fun starts. Because if SVB failed due to losses in its portfolio of government bonds, then pretty much every other institution is at risk too. Our old favorite Wells Fargo, for example, recently reported $50 billion in unrealized losses on its bond portfolio. That’s a HUGE chunk of the bank’s capital, and it doesn’t include potential derivative losses either. Anyone who has purchased long-term government bonds– banks, brokerages, large corporations, state and local governments, foreign institutions– are all sitting on enormous losses right now.
In fact they manage a special fund called Deposit Insurance Fund, or DIF, to insure customer deposits at banks across the US– including the deposits at the now defunct Silicon Valley Bank.
But the DIF’s balance right now is only around $128 billion… versus $650 billion (and growing) unrealized losses in the banking system. Here’s what really crazy, though: where does the DIF invest that $128 billion? In US government bonds! So even the FDIC is suffering unrealized losses in its insurance fund, which is supposed to bail out banks that fail from their unrealized losses. You can’t make this stuff up, it’s ridiculous!
This is the financial catastrophe, but it’s just getting started. Like Lehman Brothers in 2008, SVB is just the tip of the iceberg. There will be other casualties– not just in banks, but money market funds, insurance companies, and even businesses. Foreign banks and institutions are also suffering losses on their US government bonds… and that has negative implications on the US dollar’s reserve status.
It’s Not Working! The Fed’s Emergency Rescue Plan Has Not Ended The Banking Panic! theeconomiccollapseblog.com/its-not-working-the-feds-emergency-rescue-plan-has-not-ended-the-banking-panic/
|
|
australia
Senior Member
Posts: 158
Likes: 128
Location: Bunker
|
Post by australia on Mar 14, 2023 13:19:55 GMT 10
|
|
|
Post by Stealth on Mar 14, 2023 14:08:43 GMT 10
Seems like the word-smithy way of saying "We make $h!t up and you can't prove it because our sources are secret." 🤣 I looked for information that says that either Harry and Meghan or Oprah lost money, and the only information I can find links back to the tweet from these... "Journalists"? The only things that reference Oprah losing money here that aren't a direct link to "iSource says it so it's a fact" or people saying "IF it's true". Rule one in research. If the only source says "because I say so" it can't be relied on. Rule two is that if that person says "I said so, and here's where someone else said so" and then proceeds to link to the original source as a reference? That's called circular reporting and makes the original source even MORE suspect because they're relying on someone else linking to them to imply some sort of credibility. That's not how facts work. More people saying that something is true doesn't make it true, otherwise we'd all still believe the world is flat. Please tell me no one here believes the world is flat hahahahaha. Haha? Right? Heh. I'm not saying it's definitely not true. But a single source saying that it is with absolutely no evidence? That's not information. That's sad tuba noises 🤣. BUT... I do believe after seeing the bank run reporting this morning and upward trending some of the traditional panic buys are like metals, we're at a precipice. The financial analysts that I watch have all said that we can expect a large stock market crash either going into or going out of March. That assessment has been largely based on the end of the daily cycle so a large dip was expected anyway but it's difficult to tell if the banking issues have had an impact yet. The FOMC has it's next meeting on the 20th and 21st of March, and during that meeting there will be a summary of expected projections. Ie. What do they think is coming for the US financial system. Personally (again only my own opinion so take it with a grain of salt) I believe that if the markets gain back a bit of confidence back between now and the FOMC meeting we're likely to see a very VERY scary stock market dip. That, combined with banks taking hits from all directions, bank runs, and an extreme lack of confidence in the US financial system as a whole will probably give us some fireworks to watch.
|
|
norseman
VIP Member
Posts: 2,237
Likes: 1,888
|
Post by norseman on Mar 14, 2023 15:45:14 GMT 10
Same here! I've been standing off waiting for the bottom feeders in NSW FAR to prohibit them but it doesn't seem to be happening! P.S. Can I please have some of my .223 back? The reviews on the Taipan not real good. It’s very accurate but seems to be prone to the bolt locking up and parts breaking. Might have to find something else to put my Acog on. in the meantime I’m taking money out of the bank and buying any building materials I might need in the future, like besser blocks, reo bars, steel stud, screws etc. So I will hold off until they sort out all the bugs. It's always the way with anything mechanical, they release it too early and then shit happens!
|
|
|
Post by SA Hunter on Mar 14, 2023 23:44:30 GMT 10
|
|
spatial
Senior Member
Posts: 2,396
Likes: 1,560
|
Post by spatial on Mar 15, 2023 23:29:10 GMT 10
Going to be an interesting night, 2 of the world's major banks on trading halts, with a number of Italian banks, European shares so far dawn 3%,, US future trading expecting big losses, Banking crisis has now hit Europe... Stocks Tumble tradingeconomics.com/
European stocks plunged to over two-month lows, amid ongoing concerns over the banking system. Credit Suisse hit a new record low after admitting it had found “material weaknesses” in its reporting and as the top shareholder ruled out any further liquidity injections. Trading in Credit Suisse, Societe Generale, and several Italian banks was halted due to the steep losses. Also, US futures were under sharp selling pressure with Dow falling more than 600 points.
|
|
|
Post by Stealth on Mar 16, 2023 9:59:31 GMT 10
I think its going to be an interesting month/year. As one of my fav economists says, when the sentiment gets out of control you have to throw all of your tools and analysis out the window because they won't work anymore and rely on similar events in the past to plot a course through it all.
Despite the instability going on we still feel relatively comfortable in our financial position. I'm going to go grab some more cash out of the bank this week anyway. Diversity is the best protection we can have after all.
|
|
malewithatail
VIP Member
Posts: 3,963
Likes: 1,380
Location: Northern Rivers NSW
|
Post by malewithatail on Mar 17, 2023 8:09:50 GMT 10
The banking organization, credit suzi, is in trouble. The Govt here is desperately trying to prop up confidence in the banking system by saying that it wont let it fail, but the guarantee of saving is only to $250 K. First thing to realize is whenever the Govt says not to worry, worry !!
Spending today organizing bee equipment and discussing/planning winter gardens.
Why do a bunch of weird psychos decide how we have to live-as if this planet is theirs ?
|
|
spatial
Senior Member
Posts: 2,396
Likes: 1,560
|
Post by spatial on Mar 17, 2023 9:07:11 GMT 10
The banking organization, credit suzi, is in trouble. The Govt here is desperately trying to prop up confidence in the banking system by saying that it wont let it fail, but the guarantee of saving is only to $250 K. First thing to realize is whenever the Govt says not to worry, worry !! Spending today organizing bee equipment and discussing/planning winter gardens. Yip, the governments are soon going to realize that to big to fail banks are also to big to bail out. Central banks have pumped about $2T into banks by giving them credit for bond that they would otherwise have to sell at a loss. The banks still remain insolvent. Today " major financial institutions including BoA, JPMorgan, and Citi has agreed to deposit $30 billion in the First Republic to stabilize it. Meanwhile, data showed banks borrowed a record $164.8 billion from two Fed backstop facilities in the week ended March 15th."
Dominos are starting to fall. First with big Crypto traders now major banks. Not long and something else is going to fall over. Consumer spending and massive bankruptcies are what I think are next. European companies are closing down due to high cost of energy, there is massive layoff and job losses in US tech sector - the contagion is going to run across just about all industries. Many building and construction companies in Aus are now insolvent. People will be tapped out soon with higher mortgages/rent, cost of power, fuel, and food. It always appears fine then suddenly it is not. Since you like quotes>>> “How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked. “Two ways,” Mike said. “Gradually, then suddenly.” These lines from Ernest Hemingway's novel The Sun Also Rises, reveal a lot about the human experience when it comes to success and failure.
|
|
malewithatail
VIP Member
Posts: 3,963
Likes: 1,380
Location: Northern Rivers NSW
|
Post by malewithatail on Mar 17, 2023 9:47:23 GMT 10
"Many building and construction companies in Aus are now insolvent. People will be tapped out soon with higher mortgages/rent, cost of power, fuel, and food. It always appears fine then suddenly it is not."
True, that's why you must get out of debt as quickly as possible, you are only fueling the system with your debt. An Independent power system is essential to survive the coming collapse, along with an independent food supply, and a means of heating your dwelling without using a mainstream fuel source, like LP gas. A means of making your own fuel to use for operating garden tools will be helpful, like a gasifier unit.
Don't forget wars and rumors of wars as predicted in the bible.
Globalists are terrorizing humanity with artificial SCARCITY of everything: Food, energy, fertilizer and more… When we defeat the controllers, we unleash ABUNDANCE for all
|
|
malewithatail
VIP Member
Posts: 3,963
Likes: 1,380
Location: Northern Rivers NSW
|
Post by malewithatail on Mar 17, 2023 9:55:54 GMT 10
endtimestruth.com/a-global-digital-currency-is-coming/Understand this great cosmic truth: The universe operates on an ecosystem of automatic abundance, where mass is abundant (and free), and mass can be converted into energy at nearly zero cost (via hot fusion, cold fusion, LENR, etc.). Automatic abundance is intelligently designed into the very laws of physics.
|
|
frostbite
VIP Member
Posts: 5,719
Likes: 7,119
|
Post by frostbite on Mar 17, 2023 10:00:32 GMT 10
Gasified? My smaller garden tools are quality battery powered units. For bigger tools I’d just use horses. They even double up as all terrain vehicles and fertiliser producers. Self replicating as well.
|
|
malewithatail
VIP Member
Posts: 3,963
Likes: 1,380
Location: Northern Rivers NSW
|
Post by malewithatail on Mar 17, 2023 11:37:47 GMT 10
Have you got a battery powered rotary cultivator ? A battery tractor and solar to power it ? WTSHTF you will find out relatives u didn't even know about wanting to stay. Are u ready to either turn them away, with force probably, or accommodate a sizeable group that needs a lot of food grown for ?
A gasifier and 35 hp petrol tractor can do a lot of cultivating......saving you both time and backaches.
Energy, in turn, can be used to create fuels and fertilizer, two inputs necessary for affordable food. In addition, the universe provides the sun which brings us heat, energy and photosynthesis, all for free.
|
|