I Predict 2024

I predict a mild economic slowdown. CCP unable to hide the poor economic figures and population decline. Continues to escalate aggression in the West Phillipine sea as a distraction, but does nothing to Taiwan besides more shooting at fish.

Dec 31, 2022 18:57:20 GMT 8 Stealth said:



Food insecurity and homelessness will be problems this year. - Yep. How many stories have we seen of tent villages popping up with families and young folks living on river banks in tents because they don't have a choice?


Housing. Always housing. We'll hear more of tiny houses, cabin/caravan life, and down-sizing from the younger generations who can no longer afford rent and can't save for a mortgage. More multi-generational homes. More young families with children moving back home with parents. Not to save, but because just getting buy will cost everything they earn. - Yep. 'Caravan life' is made to look social media special but look behind the curtain and it's people trying to make it look like they're doing it out of choice.


I see the rising cost of fuel and electricity/gas putting an even larger dent in the average pocket book. - Yep. Nothing more to be said.


I agree that there's money to be made for the savvy. I predict that the US dollar will tank and take a lot of commodities with it. Precious metals have hit their 8 year cycle low a bit early so while I don't think it'll happen this year I'm expecting to see the prices for both silver and gold to start climbing up. I'm not expecting a bubble phase until 2024 however. - Yep, still pretty comfortable with that assessment. 


And finally I see a large scale conflict that we're directly involved in within the next five years. - Still hope I'm wrong on that one.

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2024

Rental crisis gets worse. More abrasion between the haves and the have nots (no middle class any more so that's a given).

The American dollar has already lost some ground but I expect to see a bit of a dunk at the next FOMC meeting, and then a rise in the value of metals, oil, and some power market values will quickly follow. I'm not convinced it will stay down for too long but I do expect to see metals gain ground consistently over the next 12 months with the standard inter-cycle pullbacks.

China may simmer down for the next year. Still conducting unprofessional and unsafe operations, but they have a lot of internal problems with their real estate market spudding in. People don't care about 'claiming back' land if they can't afford to own their own homes. They may try a stab at Taiwan but I don't feel that's particularly likely in the short term. So ops normal, harassing at borders and causing scrambles but are they going to make a direct effort in the next year? I don't know about that. 50/50 on the chances for that.

Ukraine and Russia has become a push-pull for those who want to make money. It's going to keep going for a long while yet. More meat into the grinder. 



And finally a personal hope but not a prediction because I can't plan property availability, but I'm hoping that by this time next year we'll have found and purchased our forever home.

Land to grow with better soil than what we have now. Hopefully a fresh water source which isn't too uncommon around where we're looking. Hopefully moving the kids into smaller schools where they're better catered to. And ultimately the start of what I like to call 'sensibly self sufficient'. We don't want to grow absolutely everything we eat. That takes a LOT of work and land to manage, and we both work full time. Until the mortgage (where ever we're living) is fully paid off neither of us can retire and that's ok. We're still young for retirement anyway.
But that means that the self-sufficiency that we're looking at will be sensible for our current stage of life and financial plans. Growing enough fruit and veg to highly supplement our diets. Some chooks for bumnuts and compost. Solar that highly supplements our grid usage which will mean batteries. A medicinal garden. But all things that if they go through a period of neglect of a couple of days won't be too difficult to get sorted and running smoothly again. Obviously apart from chickens, they're not pot plans after all haha.

Well almost got it right, I am an eternal pessimist!!!.    There is pandemic in China that is going global with the lung disease.   Many countries in famine, weather has been floods nd drought, fire, cyclones..  Energy prices still high (fuel, electricity, coal).
The economy held on with massive US gov support to banks,  many banks in the US went under, China in now officially in trouble with very little wiggle room.  Gold did hit a record high and stocks!!!  It is unprecedented things happening.   


Historic 2023 Prediction:
More pandemics,
Financial disaster
global famine
Mad weather and natural disasters
Civil unrest goes global.
Energy shortages, global economic retraction

2024:

• Going out on a limb, global economy crashes the world into recession.
• Wars breaking out in more areas
  
• Trump assassinated as US elections become very polarizing and contested.
• US Civil unrest, European Civil unrest over immigration.. It has started with the Irish.
• China freaks out and starts a war (Taiwan) to distract from economic woes. After support for Ukraine wanes: China thinking that the US is done supporting foreign wars.
• Shortage of medications, there is a big issue in the US fulfilling subscriptions due to China using the meds to treat the current lung pandemic outbreak.
• Acceleration of weather events, volcanoes and earthquakes. 
• ..................Not much good news..............2024 will be a year to remember......

China has shows extreme aggressive behavior in 2023..  even attacked Australian divers with sonar, ramming coat guards and fishing boats in the south china sea etc... Buzzing war planes etc..  Multiple fighter jet incursions and war drills to invade Taiwan.  An accident waiting to happen..

I’d like to add to my prediction for 2024.

I predict the pandemic of stupid will get worse. Plenty of evidence already, including head drongo of NZ wanting to join Aukus despite NZ having a ban on any nuclear powered or armed vessels in it’s waters, and the NSW police commissioner stating there’s no such thing as safe speeding. All speeding is dangerous she says, but I bet she hasn’t ordered her staff to stay strictly within the speed limit when pursuing offenders.

Exactly!  Just like mobile phone use while driving, if it is so inherently dangerous then why are Police still allowed to do it? 

A cyber attack on the water supply of the cities is possible as its all controlled by remote using commercially available equipment, using the SCADA protocols, and when I was working on the local Council as a sparky, its all made in, yes, China.....

Back-door's no doubt exist that will crash self driving cars over cliffs, and disrupt our communications systems. Have you your alternate system up and running ? Does everyone know how to use the UHF radios you have in each motor vehicle ?

Ham comms will become vital during this period, both to keep everyone safe, and information as to whats happening.

Just imagine the chaos that could be created if the mobile network, internet, fixed phone system, electric, water and so on all went down at the same time ? Add in stalled cars everywhere, EFTPOS off line (you do carry cash don't you ?).






If God does not judge America then He will have to apologize to Sodom and Gomorrah.

And if you think you will avoid the mess, think again. There will be 100's of stalled cars in the roads, blocking access. perhaps one should consider carrying a folding bicycle ? I carried a push bike for many years on my Ute when I was working, sometimes over an hours drive from home.

Mores to the point, the local media, radio/TV stations will go off as well as the net, so do you have a short wave radio with you in the car ? Or a converter that runs through the car radio ? One can be built for less than $20, or they were freely available years ago. Another device that was removed from the market as it gave independence to people.

I remember that Dr Who episode and the fumes motor vehicles pumped out to kill the population. Only difference was it was aliens doing it. Come to think of it, maybe our polyfilths are aliens ? Now that's an interesting thought bubble !






I'm old, but I'm like...cool old.

Of course, no one can say just which stations and segments of the band will be affected, but having another string to your bow is always a good idea.

Because most short wave broadcasting stations are much more powerful and robust than the broadcast ones. Specifically, they run powers in the range of MW, 1,000,000 watts plus, whilst a powerful AM station is 50 Kw or 50,000 watts. Also, most international broadcasters are aware of their part they play during an event, and take it seriously with backups of everything. That's not to say local stations don't have backup power and so on, its just that international stations are there to showcase the particular Govt in charge and must remain on air at all times. (An aside, Australia canned its last short wave station, Radio Australia, in 2017. Probably just as well with the mediocre performance of the Govt jerks in charge).

Also, there is the aspect of censorship, which is alive and well now all over the World. Even our own Govt doesn't tell the whole story (truth ??), and getting a news item from an overseas viewpoint is often very revealing as to what they are not saying.

The more sources of information one has, the better informed decisions you will make.






I intend to live forever. So far, so good.

Solution is what we do. Store whole wheat and mill in a "whisper mill" as required, then backe our own bread and pastries.

www.sourdoughhome.com/whispermill/

Much better for you as you are using the whole of the grain, sorry to those who want gluten free.






My reality doesn't depend on yours.