Matilda
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Post by Matilda on Jul 25, 2015 14:10:40 GMT 10
This is what is being reported on Zero Hedge (USA site) today. Now just where is the Australian media?
*******Pls Take the time to read the comments on the original article linked at the bottom. Aussie Dollar Tests Long-Term Trendline As China Contagion Spreads Last week, we asked "Is Australia the next Greece?" It appears, judging by the collapse in the Aussie Dollar, that some - if not all - are starting to believe it's possible after last night's 15-month low in China Manufacturing PMI. As UBS previously noted, China's real GDP growth cycles have become an increasingly important driver of Australia's nominal GDP growth this last decade. With iron ore and coal prices plumbing new record lows, a Chinese (real) economy firing on perhaps 1 cyclinder, and equity investors reeling from China's collapse; perhaps the situation facing Australia is more like Greece than many want to admit.Australian consumers are more worried about the medium term outlook than at the peak of the financial crisis, and rightfully so... See Chart in link As China plumbs new depths in manufacturing, just piling on Aussie's woes... See Chart in Link The Dollar is rising this morning but all eyes are on AUD as it tests a very long-term trendline... See Chart in LinkAs The Telegraph previously concluded, rather ominously, The problem is that Australia, after decades of effort to diversify, is looking ever more like a petrodollar economy of the Middle East, but without the vast horde of foreign currency reserves to fall back on when commodity prices fall. Instead, Australians must borrow to maintain the standards of living that the country has become accustomed to, which even some Greeks will admit is unsustainable. Charts: Bloomberg ********www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-24/aussie-dollar-tests-long-term-trendline-china-contagion-spreads
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tyburn
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Post by tyburn on Jul 27, 2015 15:08:43 GMT 10
I saw something yesterday saying that while the average Australian now spends less on their credit card than ten years ago, they do however spend a lot more on mortgages and other loans. I dunno if this is due to record low interest rates, or people just think it's easier to pay off a long-term loan than a short-term credit card debt, but do wonder what happens once the interest rates inevitably go up again?
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Post by graynomad on Jul 28, 2015 8:17:15 GMT 10
I saw something yesterday saying that while the average Australian now spends less on their credit card than ten years ago, they do however spend a lot more on mortgages and other loans. I dunno if this is due to record low interest rates, or people just think it's easier to pay off a long-term loan than a short-term credit card debt, but do wonder what happens once the interest rates inevitably go up again? Anyone that pays off a house BEFORE their credit card is crazy, given the disparity in interest rates. We paid off house #2 when mortgage rates were as high as 18% IIRC, bloody near killed me , but at least we bought in that environment and knew what we were in for. Trouble is people buy the biggest house they can afford + a bit and then rates go up. The aforementioned house was in my yuppie stage, massive with inside pool, gym, sauna, workshops etc etc. What a dickhead I was then (no comments from the peanut gallery thanks). But at least after a reno and a couple of years we came to our senses, sold it for a good profit and bought 3 townhouses. All gone now though, I only own 4 shipping containers
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Post by Peter on Jul 28, 2015 8:57:11 GMT 10
Another trap many people fall into is that of "interest free" purchases. When the IF term expires, interest can be around 27% I'm told.
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Matilda
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Post by Matilda on Jul 28, 2015 12:46:25 GMT 10
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