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The stages
Apr 11, 2017 10:15:09 GMT 10
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Post by survive3secwithoutme on Apr 11, 2017 10:15:09 GMT 10
I want to address the stages AFTER SHTF. When TEOTWAWKI has finally come and gone, what next? I personally plan to make like minded friendships before the fact, not to join them or their homestead, but to have and offer, in area/ on location help if need be. Picture this scenario and tell me your thoughts.
Your prepared, SHTF, you bunker down and manage to hold your own, other groups that managed to survive WITHOUT prepping, by way of looting or force or whatever may be. Have gathered in a mass so great you are forced to gather up and retreat, or worse, lose the fight and some if not all of your people along the way. What next? Personally I'd like to know that (as long as I/we can survive the treck and all that we encounter along they way),me and my family have a safe haven until we can rebuild, a welcome stop in we can actively contribute to, and help reenforce with our numbers so that the real CRAZYS DONT WIN our world again by shear brut force, but that we, the people who believe in a level of freedom, do. If I died and my boys knew that we had a map and a codeword that could be used to find a coded place and person who befriended their mother when all else labeled her a crazy, that they could make their way to with the skills and supply's I'd left them with, I'd be greatful and more then happy to offer the same in return. As easy as coded communication, general maps, usernames or selected phrases as a codeword to varify they aren't a threat but an ali. Safe haven after devastation.
Healthy debate welcome. What are your thoughts?
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shinester
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Post by shinester on Apr 11, 2017 13:15:43 GMT 10
I'm confused as to this post, are you asking for people to reveal their bug out plans/locations with you?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 11, 2017 14:01:23 GMT 10
This is a good topic, and only through running scenarios can we plan in advance.
I think you have made assumptions that give non preppers too much credit for surviving. When you talk of populations in the millions when a SHITF event, the moment the mobile phones stop working they will all hit the roads and want to be somewhere else, that will see about 30% removed in the first week or so.
I suggest after an event the first two days should be ok, after which no generator sounds, lights or cooking smells should be made. By day three you need to have gone to ground and appear gone. I would suggest in the absence of any new information you would need to stay un detected for a month, by then the looters and the masses will not be a problem any longer.....because the looters are not under the radar so they become a target to their own kind so die out pretty quick.
The secret to survival is being able to adapt to the situation, so predicting some sort of society recovery is a long long way off in my thinking....... I do have however a personal recovery plan/goal in which I homestead growing my own food, but I envision that only being implemented months after an event has passed. At which stage yes I would be more prepared to form an alliance with other preppers that have survival skills, rather than non preppers.
I would think a radio signal might be better as I don't see face to face meetings and greetings happening for years after a really serious event, because you are talking of a time when lawlessness exists.
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paranoia
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Post by paranoia on Apr 14, 2017 0:48:02 GMT 10
Also slightly confused but I'll address a few points real quick before bed.
If you're a good enough friend that you'd be trusted to stay with me in times of WROL, I know who your children are. I've met them many times, I know their names, where they go to school, what they like to eat...
There is no amount of coded communication, general maps, usernames, secret passwords or handshakes that would get me to trust someone I didn't personally know.
We're in a WROL situation, things are so bad that there are groups of looters wandering around looking for places to break into and your house appears empty. They're going to break in. The idea that you're going to be safe by closing your curtains and keeping quiet whilst people are killing each other in the streets... I don't buy it.
If you're not growing a veggie garden now while times are good and its comparatively easy to do so. Do not include 'I'll just grow food' in any part of your SHTF/TEOTWAWKI plans.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 14, 2017 4:04:47 GMT 10
Not sure where the topic is heading, it is very early in the morning so will give a a few jumbled thoughts, these topics have been discussed quit a bit.
Stages:
will be first people disbelieving and wasting for gov assistance, yes panic and looting as people only have on average like 3 days of food. people going mental as the drugs run out and alcohol caffeine prescription meds and of coarse the cannabis and ice etc as the distribution systems fail.
Yes there will be rebuilding but - the groups that surive together through the tribulations will be a good nucleus to rebuild. I don't think lone wolf survival types will make it.
This is very controversial - I say people will not move around as there will be a run on fuel stations and within 2 days no more fuel - getting stranded away from your house with no friends and zero resources. Yeah people will move to be with family and those that have access to farms will move to the rural areas.
I plan to bug in and wait it out - gov might set up feeding camps at major centres so people will move there. Within a week security does become and issue as we have seen with bush fires and floods withing hours the looters are out. They are mostly going for soft targets and are not organised into cohesive units, just a few scumbag opportunists..
One of my plan's A_B-C-D-E , Plan 'D' would be to take over a nearby primary school it has like 2ha property with high security fencing, lots of rooms many water tanks and a large gas tank that they use for heating and cooking. Brick building 2-3 stories up and easy to defend. If you are in the NSW hunter area - you can come and join.. I have a few close by prepper friends that I can convince to join. Will knock on the door of a few medical personal and get them to join as well. There are a few nurses and ex NSW police officer in the loosely associated 'group' that I am working on. Some of them have gone full hog prepping - so things are looking good.
This topic has been discussed a fair bit and is conjecture if there is total apocalyptic Mad Max type scenario.
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token
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Post by token on Apr 14, 2017 7:36:38 GMT 10
I want to address the stages AFTER SHTF. When TEOTWAWKI has finally come and gone, what next? I personally plan to make like minded friendships before the fact, not to join them or their homestead, but to have and offer, in area/ on location help if need be. Picture this scenario and tell me your thoughts. Your prepared, SHTF, you bunker down and manage to hold your own, other groups that managed to survive WITHOUT prepping, by way of looting or force or whatever may be. Have gathered in a mass so great you are forced to gather up and retreat, or worse, lose the fight and some if not all of your people along the way. What next? Personally I'd like to know that (as long as I/we can survive the treck and all that we encounter along they way),me and my family have a safe haven until we can rebuild, a welcome stop in we can actively contribute to, and help reenforce with our numbers so that the real CRAZYS DONT WIN our world again by shear brut force, but that we, the people who believe in a level of freedom, do. If I died and my boys knew that we had a map and a codeword that could be used to find a coded place and person who befriended their mother when all else labeled her a crazy, that they could make their way to with the skills and supply's I'd left them with, I'd be greatful and more then happy to offer the same in return. As easy as coded communication, general maps, usernames or selected phrases as a codeword to varify they aren't a threat but an ali. Safe haven after devastation. Healthy debate welcome. What are your thoughts? "I want to address the stages AFTER SHTF. When TEOTWAWKI has finally come and gone, what next? I personally plan to make like minded friendships before the fact, not to join them or their homestead, but to have and offer, in area/ on location help if need be. Picture this scenario and tell me your thoughts."
"Personally I'd like to know that (as long as I/we can survive the treck and all that we encounter along they way),me and my family have a safe haven until we can rebuild, a welcome stop in we can actively contribute to, and help reenforce with our numbers so that the real CRAZYS DONT WIN our world again by shear brut force, but that we, the people who believe in a level of freedom, do."
Ok, from my reading of this, the emphasis is on having been pushed out of your BOL or BIL by unified nasties just like 'Neagan' on The Walking Dead? As a result of this possibility you want to explore the ins and outs of the thinking behind 'making relationships' with other preparedness minded people and their BOL/BIL so that you and or them, (whoever might be pushed out of their location) can make their way to yours, or yours to theirs for help? If i have you right on that, I think this is a good prep tbh. However, it also holds risks. For instance, although you might 'code' locations for the young ones or wife etc, the fact is, you generally 'know' it plainly, the coding is for secrecy, but this assumes you wont talk, and the fact is, a toothpick shoved under the fingernails will generally get people to spill the beans. I expect if any of the groups you know of, including your own are run over, and you or the other leaders of their BOL/BIL are captured, to be asked if they have any friends local or places they know of where their might be food, guns, ammunition, water, vehicles or other things, and quite likely tortured for such info or threatened, such as their children. So giving up the location is not a smart move if you expect TEOTWAWKI imo. Having said that, i do seek out to make these relationships personally, and, i do offer such assistance to those folk. My thoughts are to reach out to those people, as well as some who dont prep, and or those who are within comms reach to establish a system of help if needed at a moments notice, depending on distance apart. For instance, if one group gets hit, they call in support, and we go help to hold their BOL/BIL and vice versa. I also believe that one needs a small well trained militia with simple common values and shifts. For some that dont prep, but can provide things, and of which i know to some degree, i will reach out to them and offer them food and shelter to them and theirs in return for unity and labor. I give them their own space for them and theirs, and they start hunting, trapping, fishing, growing, cutting wood, and all the daily necessities, as well as security training, etc. A small militia can be a very difficult group to overcome on their own turf. Fall back locations would come after that, women and children having been prepped in the drill to leave first out the back door so to speak when given the word. Thats just a few thoughts there for your scenario.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 14, 2017 9:32:21 GMT 10
If one has a group of +5 armed adults in Australia, I don't think being overrun is something that will happen very easily. The amount of resources expended and loss of life to take an armed dwelling is not worth the effort. Most so called gangs would go for softer targets. Also in the mad max scenario there would be very many people begging to join in with you for safety, so one could pick and choose amongst family and associates who you let in. Getting additional 'manpower' will be easy if there is a threat of large groups of marauders going around.
This is what has happened all through out history - people forced into larger groups and for safety, that is why we now have countries and defend our boarders and independence.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2017 18:46:01 GMT 10
I'm a little concerned at what I'm hearing, it is one thing to have enough preps for twelve months for one person, but anyone that decides to help someone else that is hungry, is then landed with them from there on out, they are not going to take a can of baked beans and say thank you very much and bugger off. Once you help someone then stuck with them and your twelve months of food is now to six months... and if they bring others your down to an even shorter time of preps. Any event that blocks out the sun light, will see you need to feed yourself several years before growing food would be an option again. I think the LDS prep for seven years...which is a good goal to have. I'm a big fan of collective wisdom, being school teacher among other things so I'm pleased to get all opinions.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 17, 2017 7:46:30 GMT 10
I'm a little concerned at what I'm hearing, it is one thing to have enough preps for twelve months for one person, but anyone that decides to help someone else that is hungry, is then landed with them from there on out, they are not going to take a can of baked beans and say thank you very much and bugger off. Once you help someone then stuck with them and your twelve months of food is now to six months... and if they bring others your down to an even shorter time of preps. Any event that blocks out the sun light, will see you need to feed yourself several years before growing food would be an option again. I think the LDS prep for seven years...which is a good goal to have. I'm a big fan of collective wisdom, being school teacher among other things so I'm pleased to get all opinions. That is why you need plenty of seed and stored to put people to work to grow food. The LDS current policy is more like 3 months of food you eat every day and then 12monhts of long term storage items like wheat etc..a Things like bio engineered plague (e.g ebola) will keep people indoors and isolated form each other.
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token
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Post by token on Apr 17, 2017 7:49:40 GMT 10
I'm a little concerned at what I'm hearing, it is one thing to have enough preps for twelve months for one person, but anyone that decides to help someone else that is hungry, is then landed with them from there on out, they are not going to take a can of baked beans and say thank you very much and bugger off. Once you help someone then stuck with them and your twelve months of food is now to six months... and if they bring others your down to an even shorter time of preps. Any event that blocks out the sun light, will see you need to feed yourself several years before growing food would be an option again. I think the LDS prep for seven years...which is a good goal to have. I'm a big fan of collective wisdom, being school teacher among other things so I'm pleased to get all opinions. You definitely have to take that point into consideration (getting lumped with more mouths to feed), and it really does come down to what situation is occurring to make that type of decision to bring people into your BIL. In my opinion, if food shortages become an issue, no electricity etc, people will turn feral in a small amount of time, and that will mean (again depending on where your BIL is located), security will become a very serious necessity. Just having watches throughout the night and enough extra folk armed can ward off some larger group attempts to take what is yours. Therefore you can prep for more than you and yours in preparation for this. In respect to the sun being blocked out, that's not something that i am considering prepping for as i don't personally think that will happen.
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ml8300
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The stages
Apr 17, 2017 14:30:15 GMT 10
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Post by ml8300 on Apr 17, 2017 14:30:15 GMT 10
Out of curiosity, what does LDS stand for, tryed Googling but it comes up with Later Day Saints.
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tomatoes
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Post by tomatoes on Apr 17, 2017 14:44:23 GMT 10
Latter Day Saints recommend food storage, 72 HR bags, etc. LDS is Latter Day Saints - it makes good sense in the given context.
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ml8300
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The stages
Apr 17, 2017 17:00:56 GMT 10
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Post by ml8300 on Apr 17, 2017 17:00:56 GMT 10
So Jesus won't come and save them?
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paranoia
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Post by paranoia on Apr 17, 2017 23:07:04 GMT 10
So Jesus won't come and save them? I'm not LDS so not 100% but I think we need to go through WWIII before he comes back. Hence the prepping.
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shinester
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Post by shinester on Apr 17, 2017 23:17:45 GMT 10
I have more than enough food preps for me for quite an extended period. I also prep for family members/friends, people I can trust very well now. That's pretty much it. I would agree that once they're getting food from you, it's all the way. I've focused on multiples of cheap as food, if you're truly hungry as anyone who's been there knows, it'll be the best tasting food you've ever had.
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landy
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Post by landy on Apr 18, 2017 18:04:38 GMT 10
This has raised a number of questions in my mind.
How does one store 7 years worth of food/supplies? I'm trying to imagine what 7 years worth of toilet paper would look like for 3 or 4 people. Surely I would need a shipping container just for that. Is it even sane to attempt this? Lol
Or would an alternate way to cleanse the behind be in order?
If you have 2 hungry families at your doorstep and you decide to feed one, how do you turn the others away?
Would it be better to get them all to work for the food and help all to produce more food in the garden? Help out with security etc?
You can't help everyone. I'm not prepared for such a scenario and you can call me weak if you like but if the sun goes dark for 7 years I'll probably call it quits. Maybe Lol
I have a modest vege garden now and it cannot fully sustain just a few people. One of my neighbors are mostly self sufficient in growing food. Their day is dawn to dusk tending poultry, livestock and their gardens. No time for fishing that is for sure. Sometimes I see them at night in their sheds with their lanterns tending birthing stock. Hard workers to say the least.
These people and my other neighbors would be the types of folk that would defend this area, in one form or another. Maybe just one farm if it comes to that. If that failed then it's Bug Out, if that is still an option. A terrible thing to consider really.
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shinester
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Post by shinester on Apr 18, 2017 20:25:01 GMT 10
7 years of toilet paper = 168 of these for 4 people at our household's normal rate of usage. Double length [less space], the triple ply helps use less of it. If you follow my link below about offgrid toilets, the option i went for was TP to start with [and I have some in all of my food kits] and then it's using the facewashers thrown into napisan [using as chemical for the toilet also] when used. So if I were making up a 7 year kit [not sure why but lets do it] 1x Portable toilet seat & bucket - $20 [They're on ebay though I picked mine up locally] - swap from one to the next 1x bucket for throwing in face washes into napisan 40x Pairs of kitchen gloves for emptying - $20 56x Cheapo non-branded nappy sanitiser [napisan] - $3.50ea - this steralises both the toilet and the bucket for used face washers. 84x cakes of soap - hand washing obviously 25x bin liners - $2.50 can't say I'd bother 100-150 face washers - $30-45 - Reusable wipes. Use napisan in a bucket to sanitise, just like a nappy. These area a guess and should more than do the job as the 'actual' usage is unknown. My original guess, was 40 for 2 people, which I bumped up to 60 recently to be sure. The procedure is, have some ready, some soaking in napisan and some drying out after soaking. 9x rolls of tripple-ply double length toilet paper - no point if you're going to go 7 years
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Post by Peter on Apr 18, 2017 22:00:58 GMT 10
9x rolls of tripple-ply double length toilet paper - no point if you're going to go 7 years I would still stock supplies of disposable toilet paper for times of sickness. Yes, the napisan will sterilize it, but when I'm sick I'd rather just ditch it. Assuming I have somewhere to dispose of it if the wheelie bin isn't emptied each week (eg furnace, firepit, etc).
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token
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Post by token on Apr 18, 2017 22:58:59 GMT 10
So Jesus won't come and save them? I'm not LDS so not 100% but I think we need to go through WWIII before he comes back. Hence the prepping. lol, (ww111) if its a 'post tribulation' view. And Mormons aren't going to be saved in the Christ Jesus of the Bible (no offense to Mormons, as they say the same about non-mormons so just saying, as even their late Prophet claimed they follow 'another jesus' to the Bible clearly). However, they can be nice folk and wise in many respects and i just spoke with an Elder from Utah in NZ the other day about contacts for bulk food and supplies for a friend over their for his churches, nice guy, and willing to assist. Back on the pre, mid, post trib, for whoever is interested, either tribulation view, trouble will come that demands preparedness, if its a pre-trib, we have 'the beginning of sorrows' period which started at the Cross and will continue right throughout the 7 years Antichrist will reign. If its a mid-trib, you have the beginning of sorrows, and 3.5 years of Antichrist's reign stacked on top, and if its the post-trib, you have both of those and the last 3.5 years which is 'Great tribulation' where Antichrist abolishes religion, and sets himself up as a god to be worshipped. On top of that, there is a very good case for a pre-trib person to not only prep for themselves but also for those left behind, and i dont doubt God is leading plenty of folk to do just that.
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token
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Post by token on Apr 18, 2017 23:05:54 GMT 10
7 years of toilet paper = 168 of these for 4 people at our household's normal rate of usage. Double length [less space], the triple ply helps use less of it. If you follow my link below about offgrid toilets, the option i went for was TP to start with [and I have some in all of my food kits] and then it's using the facewashers thrown into napisan [using as chemical for the toilet also] when used. So if I were making up a 7 year kit [not sure why but lets do it] 1x Portable toilet seat & bucket - $20 [They're on ebay though I picked mine up locally] - swap from one to the next 1x bucket for throwing in face washes into napisan 40x Pairs of kitchen gloves for emptying - $20 56x Cheapo non-branded nappy sanitiser [napisan] - $3.50ea - this steralises both the toilet and the bucket for used face washers. 84x cakes of soap - hand washing obviously 25x bin liners - $2.50 can't say I'd bother 100-150 face washers - $30-45 - Reusable wipes. Use napisan in a bucket to sanitise, just like a nappy. These area a guess and should more than do the job as the 'actual' usage is unknown. My original guess, was 40 for 2 people, which I bumped up to 60 recently to be sure. The procedure is, have some ready, some soaking in napisan and some drying out after soaking. 9x rolls of tripple-ply double length toilet paper - no point if you're going to go 7 years haha, your a cracker, i like how the question is posed and you just answer it bam! I like the way you think mate, you show its doable. With that said, id just use the old facewasher in the bucket trick, and rotate a few of them washing them out, then empty the waste and contaminated water on a tree that wasnt an edible, or empty it onto a longer term compost pile to break down and use as soil filler.
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