bug
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Post by bug on Jan 6, 2020 14:04:35 GMT 10
Nobody is ever going to tell you about 'the crash'. Those who actually do know, will keep quiet and profit from it whilst it happens. Why tell people when you can make money from it? It would be like telling people that you found a flaw in a roulette wheel. You don't tell people, you play it.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 12, 2020 15:18:33 GMT 10
Hyperinflation coming and the last Jedi. A bit humerus but 2008 insanity repeats on hyper-steroids what the media said then and how it played out.
⚔️Currency Wars: The Rise of Hyperinflation.
50s version
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Apr 13, 2020 6:46:48 GMT 10
5 months after the 'great crash' and all is good. My family all still working, my son and I still have unlimited overtime, Mrs working from home due to covid-19 and getting extra pay to compensate, even UF1 now finally got a job.
As I suspected, another false prophet trying to steal your money with cries of impending doom.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 13, 2020 7:34:54 GMT 10
In the USA the previous highest record for people filing for unemployment was around 650,000.. Over the last 3 weeks there has been an average of 6.5million people fining for unemployment per week - in total 17 million so far.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Apr 13, 2020 8:42:56 GMT 10
The USA is a thirld world country.
I have zero interest in what happens there.
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fei
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Post by fei on Apr 13, 2020 11:22:31 GMT 10
The USA is a thirld world country. I have zero interest in what happens there. Have a yankee mate who was interested in staying in Melbourne for a few months last year. Looked into the costs and couldn't believe how much food etc were. When I pointed out minimum wage is north of $20 for adults, he couldn't understand how any business could possibly pay that amount of money, let alone pay superannuation etc. Other friend spent seven or eight years in the US in the nineties, then a few years in Canada after that. Says Canada was better in every way, apart from the weather; can't understand why his Canadian friend decided to pack up and live in Los Angeles. This bloke apparently was almost bankrupted last year by medical fees after his wife had complications during childbirth. From all accounts, the US really is heaven for the rich and hell for everyone else.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 13, 2020 12:30:09 GMT 10
The entire wold economy rest on the US dollar/pertodollar. If the USA goes down so does the rest of the world all banks and financial institutions are based in US dollar debt - if one buys a house in Australia the banks borrow the money from US and international dollar lenders.
When the currency war explodes it takes everything with it. No where in history has a country done well by printing money - it is guaranteed to explode. Austalia is not doing any better spending AU$ 3T to keep economy going, considering the Aus economy is only $1T - that is three years of total income borrowed and spent in 6 months. Considering tax income will be way down due to mass unemployment and businesses going broke in Aus and no more tourists and no 100,000 Chinese uni students - there is only one outcome.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Apr 13, 2020 12:48:44 GMT 10
The entire wold economy rest on the US dollar/pertodollar. If the USA goes down so does the rest of the world all banks and financial institutions are based in US dollar debt - if one buys a house in Australia the banks borrow the money from US and international dollar lenders. When the currency war explodes it takes everything with it. No where in history has a country done well by printing money - it is guaranteed to explode. Austalia is not doing any better spending AU$ 3T to keep economy going, considering the Aus economy is only $1T - that is three years of total income borrowed and spent in 6 months. Considering tax income will be way down due to mass unemployment and businesses going broke in Aus and no more tourists and no 100,000 Chinese uni students - there is only one outcome. The US economy won't take me down with it. I don't need the banks, I own outright everything I have, including my three properties. My superannuation is mostly a multiple of my salary. The balance cannot go down. My employment is just gravy, I haven't needed to work for years. Financial security is a crucial aspect of prepping. It's been my primary focus since I bought my first property when I was only 21.
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Post by selfsufficient on Apr 13, 2020 13:02:08 GMT 10
My superannuation is mostly a multiple of my salary. The balance cannot go down. My employment is just gravy, I haven't needed to work for years. Financial security is a crucial aspect of prepping. It's been my primary focus since I bought my first property when I was only 21. I was the same, Until I got divorced. Maybe I should have got divorced when I was 21 and got it out of my system then
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bug
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Post by bug on Apr 13, 2020 14:05:55 GMT 10
The USA is a thirld world country. I have zero interest in what happens there. Have a yankee mate who was interested in staying in Melbourne for a few months last year. Looked into the costs and couldn't believe how much food etc were. When I pointed out minimum wage is north of $20 for adults, he couldn't understand how any business could possibly pay that amount of money, let alone pay superannuation etc. Other friend spent seven or eight years in the US in the nineties, then a few years in Canada after that. Says Canada was better in every way, apart from the weather; can't understand why his Canadian friend decided to pack up and live in Los Angeles. This bloke apparently was almost bankrupted last year by medical fees after his wife had complications during childbirth. From all accounts, the US really is heaven for the rich and hell for everyone else. You get the same cost variations in the US itself. In San Francisco you will pay Melbourne prices. In Detroit you'll pay bugger all, despite being similar sized cities. Most of the world is heaven for the rich and hell for the rest. It's only a few western countries where that isn't the case. It certainly isn't permanent either.
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bug
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Post by bug on Apr 13, 2020 14:07:57 GMT 10
The entire wold economy rest on the US dollar/pertodollar. If the USA goes down so does the rest of the world all banks and financial institutions are based in US dollar debt - if one buys a house in Australia the banks borrow the money from US and international dollar lenders. When the currency war explodes it takes everything with it. No where in history has a country done well by printing money - it is guaranteed to explode. Austalia is not doing any better spending AU$ 3T to keep economy going, considering the Aus economy is only $1T - that is three years of total income borrowed and spent in 6 months. Considering tax income will be way down due to mass unemployment and businesses going broke in Aus and no more tourists and no 100,000 Chinese uni students - there is only one outcome. The US economy won't take me down with it. I don't need the banks, I own outright everything I have, including my three properties. My superannuation is mostly a multiple of my salary. The balance cannot go down. My employment is just gravy, I haven't needed to work for years. Financial security is a crucial aspect of prepping. It's been my primary focus since I bought my first property when I was only 21. Bought my first at 26. Being immensely unpopular with the females at that stage did leave me in a pretty healthy position.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Apr 14, 2020 10:21:45 GMT 10
All the bubbles are starting to deflate. Nearly 2 Million Struggling Homeowners Apply For Assistance As Forbearance Explosion Paints Dire Picturewww.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/nearly-2-million-struggling-homeowners-apply-assistance-forbearance-explosionWith unemployment claims hitting nearly 17 million over the last three weeks, the number of Americans applying for the government's mortgage forbearance program under the COVID-19 relief plan spiked 73% for the week ending April 5 vs. the previous week - jumping from 2.73% to 3.74%, according to new data from the Mortgage Bankers Association.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on May 2, 2020 11:46:52 GMT 10
The everything bubble is exploding, Carmagedon no a reality. A quick google and Aus auto sales down 30-40% in April 2020. Offical figures till March 2020 is 18% drop. www.caradvice.com.au/847016/industry-upswing-in-past-week/www.caradvice.com.au/840505/vfacts-march-2020-new-car-sales/SUVs Are Being Parked In The Middle Of The Ocean As Auto Inventory Crisis Deepenswww.zerohedge.com/economics/suvs-are-being-parked-middle-ocean-auto-inventory-crisis-deepensNissan spokesman Chris Keeffe said: “The company is optimizing the flow of the vehicles and positioning them closer to dealers for quick availability when the market recovers and customers return to showrooms.”
Demand for cars and trucks in the U.S. is expected to drop 27% to 12.5 million vehicles this year, according to Bloomberg. Recall, we wrote just yesterday that Edmunds shared those sentiments: April is slated to be the worst month on record for U.S. auto sales.
Edmunds forecasts that just 633,260 new cars and trucks will be sold in the U.S. for an estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 7.7 million. This reflects a 52.5% decrease in sales from April 2019, and a 36.6% decrease from March 2020.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on May 2, 2020 12:29:43 GMT 10
Pity I don't need a new car, because now might be the time to get a serious discount.
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bug
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Post by bug on May 2, 2020 14:44:04 GMT 10
The ASX has seen the greatest rise in 30 years. What crash?
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spatial
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Post by spatial on May 3, 2020 7:50:20 GMT 10
The ASX has seen the greatest rise in 30 years. What crash? Historically the greatest rises in Stocks have been in bear market rises. Very high volatility and gov intervention - dropping interest rates and pumping money into the system, but this time no matter how much money they juice the system with it will end badly with hyperinflation. For example the 4 depressions they dropped interests rates on average by 3% to stimulate the economy. Interests rates were already close to zero and dropping prior to the virus - no there is nowhere to go. The same with global auto sales been dropping for number of years despite low interests rates and lots of stimulus, longer payback terms etc... Now to stimulate auto sales - there is nowhere to go. Same with oil price, very little room as storage fill up and the demand dries up. It is a house of cards, it all looks goods till the wind blows it down. ASX down 5% one day on Friday the 1st May is a major warning, thinking the stock market will continue is a fools paradise.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on May 3, 2020 17:26:41 GMT 10
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Post by perthprepper on May 3, 2020 21:38:04 GMT 10
I read this but feel like there's a real bias in how he's interpreted Buffett's comments. A lot of things that seemed pretty neutral got spun as very pessimistic. Goes with the view of the zerohedge blog I guess.
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Post by Joey on May 4, 2020 15:29:56 GMT 10
ME Bank (members equity) has stopped withdrawals from home loan accounts if you've paid extra in advance you can no longer redraw it as the start of a bail-in so keep an eye on the other banks doing similar things very soon.
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spatial
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Post by spatial on May 4, 2020 21:36:34 GMT 10
I read this but feel like there's a real bias in how he's interpreted Buffett's comments. A lot of things that seemed pretty neutral got spun as very pessimistic. Goes with the view of the zerohedge blog I guess. Global stocks are deep in red so far on Monday. All the mainstream media are running similar articles as European stocks down big, and US futures fall. www.cnbc.com/2020/05/03/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html
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