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Post by SA Hunter on Mar 21, 2023 10:46:21 GMT 10
An interesting question I came across at another prep website
"If your home was suddenly an island with no access to outside food, water, electricity, and fuel... How long could you manage with your own entire resources?"
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rosebud
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Post by rosebud on Mar 21, 2023 11:16:18 GMT 10
Depends on the time of year because water would be an issue. I use a combination of tank water and mains water for house and garden. If it was right now, my tanks are only half full, so without mains water I'd have to be more careful with usage than I am now. My fridges and freezers are full. I have solar power and a battery which would run the fridge, freezer and some lights and fans. Don't know if they would run the battery down completely, so I'd concentrate on using up perishables.
With my garden, chooks, food supplies, plenty of garden fertilizer etc supplements, enough feed for the chooks for 6 months I think I could last for at least 6 months up to 12 months, assuming I get the usual amount of rain. As I mentioned, water would be my limiting factor.
Can't imagine a situation where there were no outside inputs at all. If I knew there was a situation coming where water was not going to be available, I'd immediately top up my tanks and anything else available with mains water. :-)
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Mar 21, 2023 11:18:34 GMT 10
That's the ultimate aim, isn't it ? Totally self sufficient and not relying on any outside help. But, how long would you need to last for ? A Christians reply would be different from a secular person, as after the falling away, we only have to survive 3 1/2 years till Jesus comes again, and that's doable using both stockpiled reserves and freshly grown foods. I doubt many could survive indefinitely at all. Eventually, things will wear out, tools and so on, and then its gardening with sticks and stones - not easy. Then there is the question of seeds and other food growing inputs. Reusing last years seeds for this year would work for a while, but inbreeding would start to be an issue after a few years, leading to reduced harvests and potential starvation. Ditto for animals, and if there is not much wild game around, its bad news. Perhaps if you suddenly were surrounded by the sea, fishing may be a option. We intend to become an 'island' when TSHTF, at least for a while till the great die off has happened. Then, as things stabilize, farmers markets will open up, along with barter groups, and civilization will struggle back to its feet. And it will be different, more like a collection of tribes, trading between each other, but with some modern technology.
Water is not an issue with 2 off mega liter dams and 100,000 liters rainwater, distributed in different tanks around the dwellings. And the toilets can be switched over to dam water, pumped using excess solar power to 45kl header tanks, so water isn't a problem.
The power systems should be good for at least 10 + years, as should the farm machinery run from a wood gasifier. Lots of wood resources to run a generator etc.
Lubricating oil would eventually run out, but we have drums of it stored, enough for many years and it never goes off either, so store heaps. Good bartering stuff.
Good question to ponder on as we go about our work. The most important rule in a gunfight is: Always win / cheat if necessary."
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rosebud
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Post by rosebud on Mar 21, 2023 11:25:04 GMT 10
As humans we survive better with others to work with and to support each other. I'd be at a disadvantage because I'm on my own, so I might not last as long as others in a similar situation who have family to help them.
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Mar 21, 2023 11:31:47 GMT 10
That's one reason i invited my sister and her kids to move here, add to us and our 5 kids, mother in law etc, and we do have a small community.
Unfortunately, going it alone isn't survival, you cant be awake 24/7 to keep watch, even with movement triggered technology.
And I do feel for you Rosebud and others in the same situation.
If you think wellness is expensive, try illness
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Mar 21, 2023 11:46:00 GMT 10
Probably about 5 days I'd say...
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Post by Stealth on Mar 21, 2023 12:30:15 GMT 10
With zero input at all I think my family would last probably five days too. But rosebud's comment about water made me think that we'd be in struggle town pretty quickly. We're fairly reliant on town water. I have a Berkey water filter that we use daily because our local water is horrifically hard, so we could rely on water from 'unclean' sources that we'd boil and filter. But we're assuming no input whatsoever which means no rain, no access to dirty water via rivers/ponds/streams etc... We have none on hand.
That's a sobering thought. Notes to self. Replace water storage and fill storage tank this weekend.
Then in regard to food we have enough to keep us going with zero input whatsoever for approximately a month to six weeks, if we rationed effectively. That's largely thanks to our growing freeze dried storage. I'm trying to keep a wide variety of nutritious fruits and vegetables that might be in short supply if SHTF so that we can keep our growing kids on track with their nutrient intake. Calories are very important of course, but a lack of essential micronutrients can have lifelong impacts if there's a deficiency in youth and that's something that concerns me greatly. So despite their lack of enthusiasm on the matter I have been stockpiling fresh veg like there's no tomorrow.
When it comes to power and cooking options we do have solar now however it of course shuts off if we have a power outage from the grid. Go figure. We don't have batteries and despite my desire to have them it's really not cost effective when we're planning to sell this house in a couple of years. I have a battery box ready to install a battery in, and solar panels to use with it. But I haven't gotten around to doing that yet. Note to self, get that squared away too! I also need to get a replacement gas bottle as we've not replaced the old one since we moved. We have some butane canisters but of course that wouldn't keep us going for long.
Well if nothing else that's given me a to-do list for the weekend.
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Mar 21, 2023 12:51:27 GMT 10
The ruling is that if the grid fails, the solar (or alternate power source and yes, Ive installed grid connected private hydro turbines and wind as well), must drop off within 10 ms, or 0.1 second for safety of the linesmen etc. The same applies when u have a battery involved, but in that case, it can run 'stand alone' and power your house, at least til the battery's die. Without battery's , the load would need to be exactly matched to the solar output at all times when running off grid, and that's a bit difficult to do. Its possible with a shunt or diverting regulator, but then you would have an issue in overcast weather, or if you don't have enough solar to start, say the fridge. The motor could well burn out.
When in doubt, empty the magazine….
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rosebud
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Post by rosebud on Mar 21, 2023 13:14:14 GMT 10
In my answer, I assumed that the sun would still shine and rain would still fall on my little island.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Mar 21, 2023 14:19:07 GMT 10
Actually from a hygiene perspective, if the power goes out and I know its staying down then I probably have a day or two to hit the road. I'm pretty sure the black-water waste is pumped from these high-rises...so if all goes down I'm out of here!
I'm not 100% sure but I think that's why they order high-rises to evacuate from Brisbane really quick when flooding starts. If people stay and they keep using the facilities, things back up pretty quick in a high rises when a) if its pumped and b) if the whole system gets flooded. The lower floors act as a septic system for the rest of the building - nasty!
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Mar 21, 2023 14:59:40 GMT 10
Actually from a hygiene perspective, if the power goes out and I know its staying down then I probably have a day or two to hit the road. I'm pretty sure the black-water waste is pumped from these high-rises...so if all goes down I'm out of here! I'm not 100% sure but I think that's why they order high-rises to evacuate from Brisbane really quick when flooding starts. If people stay and they keep using the facilities, things back up pretty quick in a high rises when a) if its pumped and b) if the whole system gets flooded. The lower floors act as a septic system for the rest of the building - nasty! Your concern with waste water is not misplaced.
Almost all the towns that have a central sewage system needs pumps to move it around, and sometimes its a series of pumps to get it to the treatment plant, and then more pumps to aerate the water and more pumps to pump to the local disposal area, usually a river or creek. All electric powered, and most with backup generators, or a portable generator that can be plugged in on a rotating basis to empty the sumps. After 5 days, that system would probably be non existent, so raw sewage would be flowing into the storm water system, and then there's the fresh water. Most towns have a treatment station that pumps, more pumps ! from the river, above the waste outlet, and treats it with chlorine, fluoride and other poisons to make it potable and legal. (Covering their arses).
Of course all these would eventually fail when the backup diesel generators run out of fuel. And there is a statutory requirement for how long such backups must work, and usually, the council gets away with a smaller backup (cheaper) by having a procedure to send a fuel truck and crew around to the various stations in turn topping them off. Obviously, after a few days, that crew would be telling their boss where to go and looking after their own.
Hi rises also have to have backup systems, usually a tank of some kind for potable water that's lasts for a day or so and some form of overflow for sewage, maybe a generator/pump system.
After a week or so towns will become disease ridden crime centers, and if you haven't bugged out, you will be dead.
And on farm disposal is much the same, with a pump for fresh water and gravity does the work to a septic tank for waste. Composting toilets make a lot of sense as well and we have one house here with one installed, and at our other farm we had a Clivas Mulstrum.
If the enemy is in range, so are you.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Mar 21, 2023 15:09:41 GMT 10
Yep, I'm under no delusion of what will happen here if it all goes down. I'm fortunate that I can hit the road and set up shop on the family farm but I think it's less than a 5% possibility, probably less. That's why I'll worry about it when (if?) it happens...
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spatial
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Post by spatial on Mar 21, 2023 16:02:15 GMT 10
In my answer, I assumed that the sun would still shine and rain would still fall on my little island. Not that difficult to rapidly build a water catchment system with a few tarps and type of water container or divert rain water to the bathtub. There are a lot on online calculators for food storage and how much you need per day etc... To me the limiting factor is medical and calories. Baring a medical disaster +12 months. After that the neighborhood will be empty and there will be plenty of resources.
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Post by SA Hunter on Mar 21, 2023 16:17:26 GMT 10
Food; probably 1-2 months. Water; rationed - 3-4 months. Cooking capabilities; 4-5 months (bit longer when I fill my empty gas bottle). Medicine; 1-2 mths, but the Mrs needs weekly injections, so I guess we'll plant a nice tree on top of her after a few months! Other items ie cleaning/soap-6 mths; vegetable seeds-years if water available; batteries-3 mths; candles 2 months; Generator/fuel - rationed, about 1-2 months. This is for a family of five.
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Post by Stealth on Mar 21, 2023 16:17:28 GMT 10
In my answer, I assumed that the sun would still shine and rain would still fall on my little island. That's a fair assumption where you are I thinkn. Where I'm at, we've had rain once since we moved here so I just assumed no input for that because we just haven't had any of any real significance for the season. That'll change in the coming months of course but your comment about water really got me thinking that it's definitely a large gap in our supplies.
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Mar 21, 2023 16:59:13 GMT 10
Food; probably 1-2 months. Water; rationed - 3-4 months. Cooking capabilities; 4-5 months (bit longer when I fill my empty gas bottle). Medicine; 1-2 mths, but the Mrs needs weekly injections, so I guess we'll plant a nice tree on top of her after a few months! Other items ie cleaning/soap-6 mths; vegetable seeds-years if water available; batteries-3 mths; candles 2 months; Generator/fuel - rationed, about 1-2 months. This is for a family of five. Stored food - 6 months in winter, with perennial gardens, unlimited honey from the hives. Electricity - 10 years plus.
Water - indefinitely as long as it rains at least 120 mm/year and we normally get over 1,200 mm per year plus. Garden water - dams and solar pumps. Almost Indefinitely as long as I have some spare pumps.
Cooking - LP gas - 6 months perhaps, then its onto the outdoor kitchen and wood pizza oven, and the various wood stoves. Wood supply - almost unlimited and the means to harvest it, chop it etc using electric chainsaws and log splitters from the solar systems. Medicines - 6 months for antacids, hydrolyte, multi vitamins etc. 12 months eye cream. Soaps, cleaning detergents - 6 months, but knowledge to make our own. Seeds - 12 months, perhaps. Weapons and ammo - Adequate to sustain a substantial war for several months !
Batteries for torches etc, years using Aldi rechargeable AA and AAA types, no longer available, but I stocked up. Generator/tractor fuel stored - 2/3 years if used for only essential purposes, otherwise its a gasifier and wood.
If you make it too tough for the enemy to get in you can't get out.
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bce1
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Post by bce1 on Mar 21, 2023 17:29:11 GMT 10
We are probably ok for many months if we were suddenly locked in. For food without any garden input we probably have 12 months for 10, but it would be pretty boring without the garden spicing things up
Issues are people taking what we have and water.
We have no good flowing water on the property - we have one area which, through two sustained dry spells, has remained damp - so realistically, we could probably dig a working well.
Our predictions for climate change say similar rainfall but more dry spells, so we focused on water storage and probably have a crazy amount.
For the other core areas, we are mostly sorted. Medically I could run a field hospital - but my challenge there is when to stop......
But it is little things that would break us - we have a single battery-powered chainsaw, and we only have one chimney cleaning brush - so we currently are wrestling with the degree of redundancy we need to have. I keep getting stuck with what I think are good quality gear based on recommendations or brands, and they turn out to be shit. We have a solid well, performing, off-grid solar system, but if the inverter charger breaks, we are in big trouble - we cannot afford a spare just in case.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Mar 21, 2023 17:40:59 GMT 10
Pity we couldn't all find a way to pool resources...but that's just not the human way I guess...
bce1 - I'd be interested to know what broke under recommendation?
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bce1
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Post by bce1 on Mar 21, 2023 18:05:17 GMT 10
I bought a Ronix socket set and some spanners based on recommendations from a couple of mechanics, and it has performed badly. Also, have some Stanley items that were recommended, and I have had mixed success with them. The starting point is I am a shit handyman, and I hope I can still make ends meet by practising medicine - so I don't know what is real and what is 'a poor workman blaming his tools'
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Mar 21, 2023 18:19:06 GMT 10
I used to import tools from Europe...if anyone wants tool recommendations then I can probably help you out there. Hint - you pay for what you get.
They say a bad tradesman blames his tools...but in my view, if you buy really good stuff to start with, you know you cant blame them! And with some of the crap out there now, you really can blame the tool!
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