Post by Matilda on Feb 28, 2015 20:09:59 GMT 10
Full Scale Simulation: New Study Reveals Where To Go When Civilization Collapses: “Head For The Hills”
From SHTFPlan. www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/full-scale-simulation-new-study-reveals-where-to-go-when-civilization-collapses-head-for-the-hills_02272015
Should the world as we know it ever fall apart as a result of an economic collapse, a massive natural disaster, cyber attack or widespread pandemic there will be millions of people looking for food, clean water and other essential resources.
The cities will be plagued with violence and supply shortages. Government officials will, as Homeland Security has previously admitted, not be able to provide any meaningful support. The masses will be left to fend for themselves.
But just because the whole system around us falls apart doesn’t mean there won’t be any safe havens.
According to researchers at Cornell University who recently published a study analyzing the spread of a deadly virus and how it would affect the population, if you want to improve your chances of survival you should head for the hills.
But the researchers warn that even this may not be enough, noting that we are likely “doomed” either way.
Researchers from Cornell University have now discovered that the correct thing to do should the dead start to walk the earth is to literally head for the hills.
They found that cities would fall quickly, but it would take weeks for zombies to penetrate into less densely populated areas, and months to reach northern parts of the mountain-time zone.
Their advice is to head for the Rockies.
The research involved results from simulations the researchers wrote themselves, similar to modelling chemical reactions.
The Cornell team are less optimistic about our prospects.
The abstract for their research ends with the line: ‘We build up to a full scale simulation of an outbreak in the United States, and discover that for “realistic” parameters, we are largely doomed.’
Daily Mail
After a zombie outbreak, you might want to run for the Rocky Mountains, at least according to researchers at Cornell University.
The research team used statistical mechanics to figure out that this is the safest place to live during a zombie apocalypse.
However, the research wasn’t completely fictional. The models they used could also be applied to real-world disease outbreaks.
Tech Times
The study specifically models a viral outbreak, in this case, a zombie viral outbreak. But realistically speaking the statistical mechanics analysis suggest what many in the preparedness community already know: cities will be death zones and your best chance at survival will be sparsely populated areas.
James Rawles, founder of Survival Blog, has discussed the concept of the Golden Horde extensively in his writings. The Horde is best described as the masses of people who will be migrating from mega cities in search of food and other resources in the aftermath of a major collapse that results in supply breakdowns. And though a zombie virus may be fictional, the golden horde and a zombie horde would behave in much the same way, razing everything in their path.
As hordes spread out from major cities there will be a widespread die-off for a variety of reasons, namely the lack of sustenance. And, given that there will likely be no functioning gas pumps because of a lack of electricity there is a strong possibility that most people will never make it out of about a 300 mile radius of a major city simply because they will only be able to go as far as a single tank of gas will take them.
This means that those living in rural areas, especially mountainous rural areas, will have the best chance at surviving a zombie or any apocalypse. We recently published a map of the areas you want to avoid during an emergency. The map is based on population density, something that survival expert Joel Skousen says is the single biggest threat you’ll face in a collapse scenario:
The number one threat that I concentrate on. It’s not terrorism, it’s not natural disaster, it’s not even government or war.
The major threat is population density.
Because every crisis that threatens, even a local crisis, can turn exponential because of close proximity to people who cannot help themselves. Even good people panic in a crisis…
But the gut wrenching reality is that if something goes down and you find yourself in the middle of a major city and you have failed to plan ahead you’re going to have a serious problem.
Todd Savage of Strategic Relocation explains:
If we took a survey, probably more than 95% are not fully prepared. This is not good. Is it the end of the world if your family doesn’t own a retreat? Of course not, the reality is that most Preppers can’t afford a separate fully operational retreat, and that’s ok.
However, not having a pre-arranged destination of some kind, with pre-positioned supplies is absolutely not acceptable. This could be located at a fiends or relatives home in the country, or a group purchase of a retreat, even a small parcel with a stream and cached supplies is better than nothing.
Excerpt via: The Gut Wrenching Reality: One of the Best Bug-Out Strategy Guides You’ll Ever Read
Once a breakdown starts it will be unstoppable and it will completely overwhelm a city within just a few days, according to The Prepper’s Blueprint author Tess Pennington.
That means your best chance at surviving will be for you to have a preparedness plan in place before it happens.
Have a secondary location outside of major cities. Whether you buy, rent or share a piece of land or a cabin out in the middle of nowhere, one of your first priorities should be a strategic relocation plan that puts you out of reach of densely populated areas. Consider the gas tank rule: Because most will people will not be able to tank up their vehicles, the farthest they can go will be about 300 miles. If you are this far outside of a major city you’ve just upped your chances. The other option, if you have no choice but to retreat to a location within the 300 mile radius, would be to find a location that is difficult for someone to reach by foot. A mountain range or wilderness might be your best bet.
Food and Water. This is a no brainer of course, but keep in mind that you need to consider caloric intake and duration when planning your reserves. This can be done affordably with 11 foods that last a lifetime and the 25 survival foods to put in your pantry. Your emergency supplies should also include portable, high calorie foods like Meals-Ready-To-Eat and survival bars just in case you need to evacuate your secondary location.
Guns and Self Defense. If the hordes are coming they won’t be asking for help nicely. You should prepare perimeter defense strategies like those recommended by special forces veteran Max Velocity in his book A Tactical Manual For Post Collapse Survival. This includes having the right armaments on hand to quell any threats that may present themselves.
Medicine, Communications, Hardware Tools, Sustainability. All of these will be critical to survival and are often overlooked by those who stock preparedness supplies. For some ideas on how to position yourself properly consider reviewing the free online web series 52 Weeks to Preparedness.
The idea of a zombie apocalypse is far-fetched and in the minds of many marginalizes the real threats posed to our civilization. Any number of events could lead to an apocalypse-level crisis that leaves millions dead. Even our government has warned about the possibility of long-term disasters. And the fact is that FEMA and the Department of Homeland Security have spent billions of dollars on the aforementioned supplies in anticipation of such an event.
But all of those supplies they are stockpiling will likely never find their way to the general public, as they are reserved for government officials and their families who will be transported to secure underground facilities in the mountains.
You on the other hand, will be left on your own. That means whatever preparedness plan you make today will be all that’s available to you should the zombies start roaming the land.
**********************************************************
I like to read what is happening around the world. It allows me to keep an eye on things that the media here would never report on in a million years. I also like to glean ideas from America and I'm sure you too have noticed this! Americans are in a lot more agitated state than Australians are. They are like frogs in a pot of water having the heat turned up slowly. But, I think its because they went thru the Great Recession full on; are worried now where their government is taking them financially and I also see that Katrina was the turning point for many in realising that the government cannot/will not always be there for them. And the push by Obama to confiscate their guns will bring Civil War.
From the Cold War until today, Americans have prepped in some form and they have made it an art form!! They also have a large Mormon population who as part of their religion must prep and store a minimum of 1 years stores. Then there is the Amish whose simple living has been woven into the prepping movement. Prepping is big business and has been refined and refined again, but only an idiot living in American today would brush it off as being foolish to prep.
Upon reading the above article, Australia is so different. We just do not have the huge concentrated populations in our cities the writer/s are speaking about. But, in saying that, do you think that we will be placed in similar situations. Some of the things Hubby and I have chewed over this afternoon.
Unless you lived in your BOL, your preps are opened to being thieved. Like in America.
If you travelled to say their recommendations - 500klms., could you find yourself isolated with not enough fuel to return? Like in America.
Not everyone can afford a BOL. Like in America.
We would be a lot safer because not everyone in Australia has access to firearms. In the USA, it is being reported that there are more firearms in private hands than the combined armies of China and India.
What about fleeing into a State or a National Park? But you need shelter and water and walking deep into a Park could not be accomplished with babies, toddlers or seniors. As Hubby said to me 'would you leave our children behind?
Like in America.
Moving for us is not an option. We would prefer to stay put and live like 'a grey man'. For us personally we are blessed to know He is in control, even if our world seems like its spinning out. We have had prepping placed on our hearts and minds and when things just fall into place, you just know that His timing is always perfect. So how close are we? Pretty close I would say. But even so, I'm trying not to worry.
From SHTFPlan. www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/full-scale-simulation-new-study-reveals-where-to-go-when-civilization-collapses-head-for-the-hills_02272015
Should the world as we know it ever fall apart as a result of an economic collapse, a massive natural disaster, cyber attack or widespread pandemic there will be millions of people looking for food, clean water and other essential resources.
The cities will be plagued with violence and supply shortages. Government officials will, as Homeland Security has previously admitted, not be able to provide any meaningful support. The masses will be left to fend for themselves.
But just because the whole system around us falls apart doesn’t mean there won’t be any safe havens.
According to researchers at Cornell University who recently published a study analyzing the spread of a deadly virus and how it would affect the population, if you want to improve your chances of survival you should head for the hills.
But the researchers warn that even this may not be enough, noting that we are likely “doomed” either way.
Researchers from Cornell University have now discovered that the correct thing to do should the dead start to walk the earth is to literally head for the hills.
They found that cities would fall quickly, but it would take weeks for zombies to penetrate into less densely populated areas, and months to reach northern parts of the mountain-time zone.
Their advice is to head for the Rockies.
The research involved results from simulations the researchers wrote themselves, similar to modelling chemical reactions.
The Cornell team are less optimistic about our prospects.
The abstract for their research ends with the line: ‘We build up to a full scale simulation of an outbreak in the United States, and discover that for “realistic” parameters, we are largely doomed.’
Daily Mail
After a zombie outbreak, you might want to run for the Rocky Mountains, at least according to researchers at Cornell University.
The research team used statistical mechanics to figure out that this is the safest place to live during a zombie apocalypse.
However, the research wasn’t completely fictional. The models they used could also be applied to real-world disease outbreaks.
Tech Times
The study specifically models a viral outbreak, in this case, a zombie viral outbreak. But realistically speaking the statistical mechanics analysis suggest what many in the preparedness community already know: cities will be death zones and your best chance at survival will be sparsely populated areas.
James Rawles, founder of Survival Blog, has discussed the concept of the Golden Horde extensively in his writings. The Horde is best described as the masses of people who will be migrating from mega cities in search of food and other resources in the aftermath of a major collapse that results in supply breakdowns. And though a zombie virus may be fictional, the golden horde and a zombie horde would behave in much the same way, razing everything in their path.
As hordes spread out from major cities there will be a widespread die-off for a variety of reasons, namely the lack of sustenance. And, given that there will likely be no functioning gas pumps because of a lack of electricity there is a strong possibility that most people will never make it out of about a 300 mile radius of a major city simply because they will only be able to go as far as a single tank of gas will take them.
This means that those living in rural areas, especially mountainous rural areas, will have the best chance at surviving a zombie or any apocalypse. We recently published a map of the areas you want to avoid during an emergency. The map is based on population density, something that survival expert Joel Skousen says is the single biggest threat you’ll face in a collapse scenario:
The number one threat that I concentrate on. It’s not terrorism, it’s not natural disaster, it’s not even government or war.
The major threat is population density.
Because every crisis that threatens, even a local crisis, can turn exponential because of close proximity to people who cannot help themselves. Even good people panic in a crisis…
But the gut wrenching reality is that if something goes down and you find yourself in the middle of a major city and you have failed to plan ahead you’re going to have a serious problem.
Todd Savage of Strategic Relocation explains:
If we took a survey, probably more than 95% are not fully prepared. This is not good. Is it the end of the world if your family doesn’t own a retreat? Of course not, the reality is that most Preppers can’t afford a separate fully operational retreat, and that’s ok.
However, not having a pre-arranged destination of some kind, with pre-positioned supplies is absolutely not acceptable. This could be located at a fiends or relatives home in the country, or a group purchase of a retreat, even a small parcel with a stream and cached supplies is better than nothing.
Excerpt via: The Gut Wrenching Reality: One of the Best Bug-Out Strategy Guides You’ll Ever Read
Once a breakdown starts it will be unstoppable and it will completely overwhelm a city within just a few days, according to The Prepper’s Blueprint author Tess Pennington.
That means your best chance at surviving will be for you to have a preparedness plan in place before it happens.
Have a secondary location outside of major cities. Whether you buy, rent or share a piece of land or a cabin out in the middle of nowhere, one of your first priorities should be a strategic relocation plan that puts you out of reach of densely populated areas. Consider the gas tank rule: Because most will people will not be able to tank up their vehicles, the farthest they can go will be about 300 miles. If you are this far outside of a major city you’ve just upped your chances. The other option, if you have no choice but to retreat to a location within the 300 mile radius, would be to find a location that is difficult for someone to reach by foot. A mountain range or wilderness might be your best bet.
Food and Water. This is a no brainer of course, but keep in mind that you need to consider caloric intake and duration when planning your reserves. This can be done affordably with 11 foods that last a lifetime and the 25 survival foods to put in your pantry. Your emergency supplies should also include portable, high calorie foods like Meals-Ready-To-Eat and survival bars just in case you need to evacuate your secondary location.
Guns and Self Defense. If the hordes are coming they won’t be asking for help nicely. You should prepare perimeter defense strategies like those recommended by special forces veteran Max Velocity in his book A Tactical Manual For Post Collapse Survival. This includes having the right armaments on hand to quell any threats that may present themselves.
Medicine, Communications, Hardware Tools, Sustainability. All of these will be critical to survival and are often overlooked by those who stock preparedness supplies. For some ideas on how to position yourself properly consider reviewing the free online web series 52 Weeks to Preparedness.
The idea of a zombie apocalypse is far-fetched and in the minds of many marginalizes the real threats posed to our civilization. Any number of events could lead to an apocalypse-level crisis that leaves millions dead. Even our government has warned about the possibility of long-term disasters. And the fact is that FEMA and the Department of Homeland Security have spent billions of dollars on the aforementioned supplies in anticipation of such an event.
But all of those supplies they are stockpiling will likely never find their way to the general public, as they are reserved for government officials and their families who will be transported to secure underground facilities in the mountains.
You on the other hand, will be left on your own. That means whatever preparedness plan you make today will be all that’s available to you should the zombies start roaming the land.
**********************************************************
I like to read what is happening around the world. It allows me to keep an eye on things that the media here would never report on in a million years. I also like to glean ideas from America and I'm sure you too have noticed this! Americans are in a lot more agitated state than Australians are. They are like frogs in a pot of water having the heat turned up slowly. But, I think its because they went thru the Great Recession full on; are worried now where their government is taking them financially and I also see that Katrina was the turning point for many in realising that the government cannot/will not always be there for them. And the push by Obama to confiscate their guns will bring Civil War.
From the Cold War until today, Americans have prepped in some form and they have made it an art form!! They also have a large Mormon population who as part of their religion must prep and store a minimum of 1 years stores. Then there is the Amish whose simple living has been woven into the prepping movement. Prepping is big business and has been refined and refined again, but only an idiot living in American today would brush it off as being foolish to prep.
Upon reading the above article, Australia is so different. We just do not have the huge concentrated populations in our cities the writer/s are speaking about. But, in saying that, do you think that we will be placed in similar situations. Some of the things Hubby and I have chewed over this afternoon.
Unless you lived in your BOL, your preps are opened to being thieved. Like in America.
If you travelled to say their recommendations - 500klms., could you find yourself isolated with not enough fuel to return? Like in America.
Not everyone can afford a BOL. Like in America.
We would be a lot safer because not everyone in Australia has access to firearms. In the USA, it is being reported that there are more firearms in private hands than the combined armies of China and India.
What about fleeing into a State or a National Park? But you need shelter and water and walking deep into a Park could not be accomplished with babies, toddlers or seniors. As Hubby said to me 'would you leave our children behind?
Like in America.
Moving for us is not an option. We would prefer to stay put and live like 'a grey man'. For us personally we are blessed to know He is in control, even if our world seems like its spinning out. We have had prepping placed on our hearts and minds and when things just fall into place, you just know that His timing is always perfect. So how close are we? Pretty close I would say. But even so, I'm trying not to worry.
