dadbod
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Post by dadbod on Jun 30, 2023 5:31:12 GMT 10
lately I've become more worried about population decline and collapse as a slow moving disaster thats about to pick up pace.
what happens when the boomers (the largest generation, largest voting block) retire (50% of boomers will hit retirement age this year)?
less tax paid, less consumption, transition of asset classes to try and produce cashflow, all could spell disaster.
we have our highest amount of debt, right when the largest tax paying generation are about to stop paying as much tax.
I am also worried that the boomers will vote in their own self interest and bring in policies that will try and keep the boat afloat, but just end up compounding the issue.
the generations below the boomers are nowhere near the size to maintain society and the economy, there must be a decline, i dont see how it could be anything else.
theres also nothing we can do. we cant make more 30 year olds, we needed to do that 30.75 years ago, and importing them isnt the answer (the only growing populations have disastrous IQ metrics).
We are so globalised with our supply chains that once the first domino falls (china, who are in the worst situation) we will all topple over. Global shipping is very brittle with the war in ukraine, US isolationist policies, risk to insurance markets etc all possibilites to grind it to a halt. once the ships stop, it all stops.
Australia isolated is a bad thing. we do not have energy independance, manufacturing at scale, or value add to our resource industries. Our agriculture industry is dependant on imported hydrocarbon based fertiliser, trucking, imported machinery, imported finance, and export markets. all would stop when the ships stop.
In my view, this is it. our civilisation probably peaked in 2019. I dont know how this relates to preparing, as far as practical measures go. i guess minimise debt and invest in family relationships. prepare to adapt to change and live with a lot less. Otherwise move to the US. they should weather this better than anyone.
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norseman
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Post by norseman on Jun 30, 2023 5:50:25 GMT 10
lately I've become more worried about population decline and collapse as a slow moving disaster thats about to pick up pace. what happens when the boomers (the largest generation, largest voting block) retire (50% of boomers will hit retirement age this year)? less tax paid, less consumption, transition of asset classes to try and produce cashflow, all could spell disaster. we have our highest amount of debt, right when the largest tax paying generation are about to stop paying as much tax. I am also worried that the boomers will vote in their own self interest and bring in policies that will try and keep the boat afloat, but just end up compounding the issue. the generations below the boomers are nowhere near the size to maintain society and the economy, there must be a decline, i dont see how it could be anything else. theres also nothing we can do. we cant make more 30 year olds, we needed to do that 30.75 years ago, and importing them isnt the answer (the only growing populations have disastrous IQ metrics). We are so globalised with our supply chains that once the first domino falls (china, who are in the worst situation) we will all topple over. Global shipping is very brittle with the war in ukraine, US isolationist policies, risk to insurance markets etc all possibilites to grind it to a halt. once the ships stop, it all stops. Australia isolated is a bad thing. we do not have energy independance, manufacturing at scale, or value add to our resource industries. Our agriculture industry is dependant on imported hydrocarbon based fertiliser, trucking, imported machinery, imported finance, and export markets. all would stop when the ships stop. In my view, this is it. our civilisation probably peaked in 2019. I dont know how this relates to preparing, as far as practical measures go. i guess minimise debt and invest in family relationships. prepare to adapt to change and live with a lot less. Otherwise move to the US. they should weather this better than anyone. Best thing about us so called "Boomers" was we did normal stuff like party hard, work hard, play hard, fornicate and breed hard then along came the Millennials and the Gens who thought having children would screw with their screen time and non producing LGBTQ relationships no wonder you young ones are now screwed! So do we blame the "Boomers" for that also? PS I'm doing my bit to help you out with with three kids and four grankids!
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jun 30, 2023 7:39:17 GMT 10
Try getting a spot in an aged care facility. What few spaces are available cost a fortune and are staffed by idiots. It’s where incontinence meets incompetence. And it’s going to get much worse as the boomers age. My prep for that: build a granny flat for a live in carer. Preferably tall, blonde, Nordic.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Jun 30, 2023 8:13:37 GMT 10
Gen Z is pretty big and they are having lots of kids. but it will take 20 years for them to come online, so it will be 20 lean years and then we will be fine from a capitalist, consumption perspective. I dont think the world will look the same in 20 years though, a lot of new tech coming down the tubes.
You have to remember that the ones screaming the most about population decline are billionaires! The ones who want, or cant see an alternative to, what we currently have and want to keep the status quo - growth. We have already lived on this planet with lower populations except we now have a lot more knowledge & tech. I dont see a problem.
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Jun 30, 2023 8:23:32 GMT 10
That's what borrowing money is for, borrow from the future to waste now. And we have given these Govt turds the means to do that, destroying the world in the process.
I too have done my bit for Australia with 5 kids, so come on the rest of you !
Add to the above, the waste of resources, deliberately in most cases by making them impossible to repair or designing things with finite life spans that are designed to fail, forcing you to buy a new one.
Anyway, depending on your spiritual beliefs, the world is either gunna fizzle out, go out with a nuclear bang or be turned into a paradise, before we run out of people.
We should be looking after our families and those we love, hence the need for prepping, food supplies and so on. And on the food supply issue, its only going to get worse, so learn how to grow your own meat and vegies now, before you need to for survival.
From Chicken run...."Escape or die frying"
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Post by Joey on Jun 30, 2023 16:33:02 GMT 10
The governments seem to always fall back on immigration as the source for "ready-made taxpayers" to fill the gap. Even with the housing crisis at the moment, these tens of thousands of migrants don't have a place to stay. With the loss of the building industry and the lack of apprentices becoming our future tradies, the housing issue will only exacerbate further. The housing issue is something that can take a decade to even make a dent in.
My theory as far as "future housing" is instead of just forever extending the outlining suburbs of cities, they need to focus on more self-contained satellite cities. These estates would need their own mini-CBD zone and the government should encourage big inner-city businesses to branch out to sub-offices in these satellite cities for their workers to work and live in. Naturally, these areas would have their own school systems and hospitals, shopping centres etc. In my view, something along the lines of this theory would have multiple benefits to living overall. The biggest factor this would help towards is transportation. Because at the moment, the developers keep building all these mega suburbs but not upgrading the surrounding road networks to suit them. Take for instance North Lakes north of Brissy. Mega suburb development has the approval to extend all the way up to Caloundra on the Sunshine Coast, making it a super mega housing suburb over 62Km of Hwy and yet the vast majority of the people living here will still jump on the Bruce and drive to the city each day for work having massive bottlenecks once they start to reach Carseldine and Chermside.
I know this satellite city idea may read like the WEFs dream of 15min cities, but not really as they would be larger than that once you put in a mini-CBD and other public infrastructure.
Because of the poor city planning or major centres, I'm glad I live in a remote town 200Km from the nearest traffic lights lol
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malewithatail
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Post by malewithatail on Jun 30, 2023 16:35:58 GMT 10
I cant even remember where the nearest traffic light is, at least 150 km away anyway.
Good girls want him bad. Bad girls want him worse.
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Post by Stealth on Jul 1, 2023 13:12:18 GMT 10
Best thing about us so called "Boomers" was we did normal stuff like party hard, work hard, play hard, fornicate and breed hard then along came the Millennials and the Gens who thought having children would screw with their screen time and non producing LGBTQ relationships no wonder you young ones are now screwed! So do we blame the "Boomers" for that also? PS I'm doing my bit to help you out with with three kids and four grankids! I'm an elder Millennial. We have three kids. Want an interesting anecdote? When covid lockdowns happened, I paid off the $7k outstanding on my car loan because I didn't have to pay childcare for that period. In eight weeks. EIGHT WEEKS. $7k. In the cheapest not for profit daycare in the area, but at the national average. There could be cheaper daycares, but they certainly weren't within a half hour drive of where we lived. That much money just to have children exist while you work. Not to provide the food, healthcare, clothing, education etc. that was outside of childcare hours as well. Just for them to exist while you work. For a little perspective, my boomer generation mum used to pay $2 a week for the local community daycare when I was a toddler. In today's money, that's about $5.50 for a full week of childcare. If she'd had to pay today's prices back in 1985 for my care, she would have been paying $286 a week for childcare. I was paying about $875 a week until 2 years ago. The average wage in 1980 was apparently about $13,458. The cost of childcare for her if she'd had to pay at the rates that we did, would have been $11,440 a year for 40 weeks of care. That comparison tracks with the amount we paid per year of approximately $35000 in today's dollars. For our kids to simply exist while we worked. Think back to your wage in the mid-80s. If someone had said "You need to have more kids" on your wage as it was in 1985 and you were paying $286 a week, what would your first thought be? Not to mention the cultural shift away from older generations caring for children full time while their parents are at work. That's no longer a common expectation. We didn't have either set of parents living close to us to offer assistance, but even if they had been, they had either full time work themselves or no inclination to care for young children. Millennials aren't having less kids out of spite or selfishness. They're simply thinking with their wallets far more often than they are with their nethers.
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Post by Stealth on Jul 1, 2023 13:22:31 GMT 10
In my view, this is it. our civilisation probably peaked in 2019. I dont know how this relates to preparing, as far as practical measures go. i guess minimise debt and invest in family relationships. prepare to adapt to change and live with a lot less. Otherwise move to the US. they should weather this better than anyone. I definitely think that we hit our peak probably 2018-2019. That's what got me into prepping a few years ago. Realising that when push comes to shove, society isn't going to protect anyone from anything. But the US weathering it better than anyone? I think they're definitely going to be one of the WORST hit. We only have to look at the GFC to see how it'll go down for them.
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dadbod
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Post by dadbod on Jul 3, 2023 5:09:22 GMT 10
This is not an attack on the boomers, I understand that with changes to healthcare, contraception, peacefull existence, and urbanisation, the need for lots of kids just wasnt a cultural push all pushed the data that way. I also dont blame individuals, as it shouldnt be an expectation to breed at any rate. but there are global consequences to that. My discussion of boomers is an observation, and one that continued as less and less kids arrived through each generation. all of those things that influence boomers keep piling up of peoples decision making today.
part of the picture is delaying having kids, which is making it hard to even have kids. this is such a common issue today. people past 30 wanting to have kids is crazy from a biological view. its 50/50 at best that you will have a kid past 30.
we dont have the generations coming through to maintain everything we have. growth is required. we have seen in japan where population and the economy hasnt grown, that external investment in growing economies is required. if the lack of growth is global, the Japanese example is irrelevant.
The US is by far the best set to weather the future. they have energy and food independence, cheap skilled manufacturing labour in mexico, resources in canada, a navy to protect the trade that it does maintain, physical room to grow, and technological and techical exellence in every field. Their demographics are also probably the best in the world for growth. sure they are missing some things, but with their navy, culture, and knowledge, they can onshore any activity or resource.
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norseman
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Post by norseman on Jul 3, 2023 8:08:44 GMT 10
This is not an attack on the boomers, I understand that with changes to healthcare, contraception, peacefull existence, and urbanisation, the need for lots of kids just wasnt a cultural push all pushed the data that way. I also dont blame individuals, as it shouldnt be an expectation to breed at any rate. but there are global consequences to that. My discussion of boomers is an observation, and one that continued as less and less kids arrived through each generation. all of those things that influence boomers keep piling up of peoples decision making today. part of the picture is delaying having kids, which is making it hard to even have kids. this is such a common issue today. people past 30 wanting to have kids is crazy from a biological view. its 50/50 at best that you will have a kid past 30. we dont have the generations coming through to maintain everything we have. growth is required. we have seen in japan where population and the economy hasnt grown, that external investment in growing economies is required. if the lack of growth is global, the Japanese example is irrelevant. The US is by far the best set to weather the future. they have energy and food independence, cheap skilled manufacturing labour in mexico, resources in canada, a navy to protect the trade that it does maintain, physical room to grow, and technological and techical exellence in every field. Their demographics are also probably the best in the world for growth. sure they are missing some things, but with their navy, culture, and knowledge, they can onshore any activity or resource. Mate I get it! My point is the "Boomers" and their WW2 era Parents / Grandparents helped create the conditions that made this country a F***ing great place to live, at the end of the day I really do believe they contributed far more than they ever took! If not why were / is every man and his dog busting their gut to get here, unfortunately it's all pretty well farked now! Australian quality of life peaked in the early to mid 80's in my opinion and it's been a downhill ride ever since so what are the younger generations going to do to turn it all around? Keep voting for the same trash Politicians and you all just going to get more of the same!
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jul 3, 2023 8:51:09 GMT 10
I don’t care what happens to society or the country. I’ll never forget the way us purebloods we’re treated by government, police, business and the vast majority of the general population. I won’t lose any sleep if they all drown in the cesspit of declining population. All I care about is making sure my children and grandchildren survive in comfort.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Jul 3, 2023 9:26:28 GMT 10
What is a pureblood exactly?
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Jul 3, 2023 9:32:26 GMT 10
Mate I get it! My point is the "Boomers" and their WW2 era Parents / Grandparents helped create the conditions that made this country a F***ing great place to live, at the end of the day I really do believe they contributed far more than they ever took! If not why were / is every man and his dog busting their gut to get here, unfortunately it's all pretty well farked now! Australian quality of life peaked in the early to mid 80's in my opinion and it's been a downhill ride ever since so what are the younger generations going to do to turn it all around? Keep voting for the same trash Politicians and you all just going to get more of the same! Every generation thinks they're the best...I would argue the Boomers are at the root of all the problems we have in the world now...yes some good things were done under their watch, but at a huge cost.
I'm biased though, I've never got along with boomers and just thought I was a natural Troll. I always got along with Silents though, and the later generations. The book 'The Fourth Turning' explained it all to me in pretty logically. The author is scathing of Boomers (he is one) and I agree with pretty much everything he says.
A good read.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jul 3, 2023 9:38:52 GMT 10
What is a pureblood exactly? It’s the label given to those who refused to get the Covid vaccine. You know, that 5% of the population that proved they won’t be intimidated by force or fascism.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Jul 3, 2023 9:50:49 GMT 10
So they're the ones who got lucky...got it.
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jul 3, 2023 10:28:21 GMT 10
They made their own luck.
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tactile
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Post by tactile on Jul 3, 2023 10:47:54 GMT 10
And next time we get a pandemic...a real one...you'll make your own luck there too.
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norseman
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Post by norseman on Jul 3, 2023 10:57:28 GMT 10
Mate I get it! My point is the "Boomers" and their WW2 era Parents / Grandparents helped create the conditions that made this country a F***ing great place to live, at the end of the day I really do believe they contributed far more than they ever took! If not why were / is every man and his dog busting their gut to get here, unfortunately it's all pretty well farked now! Australian quality of life peaked in the early to mid 80's in my opinion and it's been a downhill ride ever since so what are the younger generations going to do to turn it all around? Keep voting for the same trash Politicians and you all just going to get more of the same! Every generation thinks they're the best...I would argue the Boomers are at the root of all the problems we have in the world now...yes some good things were done under their watch, but at a huge cost.
I'm biased though, I've never got along with boomers and just thought I was a natural Troll. I always got along with Silents though, and the later generations. The book 'The Fourth Turning' explained it all to me in pretty logically. The author is scathing of Boomers (he is one) and I agree with pretty much everything he says.
A good read.
Mate I'm a youngish "Boomer" and I hate most of em, like the self-entitled, self-funded farkers that think the World owes them everything! But I'm also in the camp that thinks 90% of the Human Race are pure Oxygen Thieves and no I don't preclude myself from the 90% that's for others to judge! Our deeds and not our words are what really matter!
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frostbite
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Post by frostbite on Jul 3, 2023 11:39:35 GMT 10
And next time we get a pandemic...a real one...you'll make your own luck there too. Yes I will. Probably by relocating my family to my secluded river frontage retreat, the one with no neighbour within 2km, and exist contently on my large stockpile of food, hunting the goats, pigs, rabbits, ducks and deer that are there, fishing for trout in my river, growing vegetables, corn and wheat on the cleared acres beside the river. That sort of luck, rather than the dodgy luck of injecting a rushed, untested vaccine that may well prove to be more dangerous than the virus itself. oh, and perhaps shooting some of the stray sheep that like to graze on my 10 acre front paddock.
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